Padres vs. Rockies MLB Pick – September 14th

The San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies are teams who have been in similar positions this season. They went into this season with expectations, but nothing came of it and neither are going to be playing postseason baseball in October. It’s especially been a disappointing season for the Rockies. They went to the NLDS last season and got swept by the Brewers. While that series didn’t go according to their plans, the Rockies got some valuable experience and momentum going into 2019, or not.

The Rockies started slowly this season and were never able to recover. Their season has gone a lot like the Red Sox, but the Red Sox actually won the World Series a season ago. The Rockies didn’t win anything except a trip to the postseason. They were thrilled to sign Nolan Arenado in the offseason, though. Unfortunately, his deal hasn’t resulted in any advancements with the team in 2019. Sure, he started slowly like the rest of the team, but he got his swing working eventually.

Others, notably the pitching staff, have never been able to get anything working. If they could snap their fingers and fix the pitching, then everything would get much better in Denver. The pitching failed against last night, but the bats once again had to pick up the slack. Colorado got out of Friday night with a 10-8 win over the Padres. Joey Lucchesi took a beating, as the Rockies racked up 8 runs against him in 3.2 innings. Jeff Hoffman wasn’t great as well, but his 4 earned runs yielded was the difference vs Lucchesi.

When the Rockies have won this season, a lot of their wins have come in that fashion. The offense oftentimes has had to hit double digits on the scoreboard. And even for a team that calls Coors Field home, it’s not a formula for winning enough baseball games to play in the postseason. The starting jobs are expected to go to Eric Lauer and Peter Lambert. Lauer the sophomore and Lambert the freshman in this showdown. Head below for our free Padres vs. Rockies pick.

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Padres -118/Rockies -102
  • O/U: 13

Pitching Matchup:

  • Eric Lauer (8-8, 4.41 ERA)
  • Peter Lambert (2-6, 6.86 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Peter Lambert has been given plenty of starts in his first season pitching in the major leagues. Instead of getting his feet wet late in the season, the Rockies introduced him to the majors back in early June. He immediately did well against the Cubs in back-to-back starts and ended up sticking in the rotation.

However, the 22-year-old found out quickly that life in the big leagues isn’t going to be that easy. Since opening up his career, Lambert has mostly struggled as he’s watched his ERA fall down far. Perhaps if he didn’t have to pitch at Coors Field this season all would be fine. Then again, Lambert hasn’t been pitching well anywhere.

It’s true that Lambert has been downright awful at home this season, though. Lambert enters Saturday with an overall ERA of 6.86 and 1.72 WHIP on the season. Even though he’s a rookie, there aren’t many positive ways to spin that. His numbers have been even worse at Coors, as he’s struggled with a 7.00 ERA.

Hurting him has been the thin air in Denver. Lambert has yielded 11 home runs as opposed to just 6 on the road. 11 long balls in 45 innings is way too many to surrender and still expect good numbers. In his previous three outings, Lambert has gotten KO’d for a 9.82 ERA and 2.45 WHIP in 11 innings of play. He has failed to find any success against the Padres. Note that they’re hitting .400 with a .436 OBP against him in 35 at-bats.

Eric Lauer has been abysmal as well and he’s had a larger sample size of action against the Rockies. The Rockies are hitting .372 with a .429 OBP in 94 plate appearences against Lauer. Lauer has struggled to find consistent success on the road as well. He enters Coors Field with a 5.94 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 63.2 innings pitched. We might not get 18 runs like last night, but expect more than 13 to put this matchup OVER the total Saturday in Colorado.

The Bet
OVER 13
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.