Padres vs. Yankees MLB Pick – May 29th

The San Diego Padres had a nice showing at Yankee Stadium yesterday, as they responded with a 5-4 win Tuesday afternoon. The Padres lost the first of a three-game interleague series on Monday by a score of 5-2. San Diego were able to win a close one in the second game, as the bullpen was able to slam the door on the Yankees.

It was a tricky road for the Padres, as they went through six different pitchers against eight batters. They weren’t taking any chances against the Yankees and it ultimately paid off. Their bullpen has major issues and having to go through six hurlers to go through an entire lineup pretty well highlights that. They certainly aren’t horrible, though an average bullpen with an average offense is not going to cut it.

They aren’t going to be able to get by in the NL West with a bullpen that is just okay. The Dodgers aren’t going to let that to happen. If there is anything that is absolutely required to win in the majors, it’s an elite bullpen. The Padres got better in the offseason by signing Manny Machado, but bringing in an expensive position player and hoping for the best usually doesn’t work too effectively.

The Padres’ offense is not where they want to be at the moment. Bringing in a bat like Machado will garner more expectations from fans. He is hitting .266 with 9 home runs thus far this season. There were some boo birds out on Monday when Machado took his at-bat.

The Yankees showed interest in him, but he of course landed with the Padres. Despite the loss on Tuesday, the Yankees are in control of the AL East with a 1-game lead over the Rays. The Padres are a mile behind the Dodgers with a record of 29-26. James Paxton will make his long-awaited return to the Yankee rotation on Wednesday afternoon. The Padres will counter with standout rookie Chris Paddack. Head below for our free Padres vs. Yankees pick.

San Diego Padres vs. N.Y. Yankees Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -140/Padres +120
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Chris Paddack (4-2, 1.93 ERA)
  • James Paxton (3-2, 3.11 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

James Paxton will make his first start since May 3rd. He suffered a knee injury just when he was finding his groove with his new team. Paxton was on fire before he had to sit down and tend to his injured knee. He was on fire before he had to sit out almost the entire month of May. It took him a minute to get comfortable on the Yankees, but he was letting up when he found a rhythm. Paxton didn’t allow a run in three of his last four starts. All three of those starts came at Yankee Stadium. The Bronx has been an auto out for hitters with Paxton on the hill.

Paxton comes back to action with near perfect numbers at Yankee Stadium in 2019. In his first season as a Yankee, Paxton has been on fire with an ERA of 0.40 and 0.75 WHIP at home. In 22.2 innings of work, he’s allowed just 1 earned run. His previous 17 innings have resulted in no runs against. Paxton has also yet to allow a home run in his new park. He is going to face a challenge this afternoon with Chris Paddack on the other side this afternoon, though.

Paddack has emerged of the ace of this club in just his first season as a major league pitcher. It’s easy for a young pitcher to cool off pretty quickly, though Paddack hasn’t been showing many signs of slowing down. He enters with an ERA of 1.93 and 0.76 WHIP in what is his first outing of his career at Yankee Stadium.

Note, though, that Paddack is not expected to be 100% in this start. He is dealing with discomfort in his neck and was recently scratched from his most recent scheduled outing. The Padres may be 2nd in their division, but they have a run differential of -12 as opposed to +67 for the Yankees. This should be a solid matchup between Paddack and Paxton. Both pitchers should be able to have their moments in this one. Look for the Yankees to respond with a win behind a strong return for Paxton at Yankee Stadium.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.