Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets – MLB April 14

7:10 p.m. ET – Phillies (-130) at Mets O/U: 8

The 6-5 Phillies stay in New York to take on the 4-3 Mets for the third game of their four-game midweek series. The first two games have gone to New York, with the Mets sweeping Tuesday’s doubleheader, including a six-shutout inning masterpiece from Marcus Stroman in Game Two yesterday en route to a 4-0 win. The Mets have won three of their last four games and seems to be finding their groove after the start to their season was delayed because of COVID-19 positive tests prior to their originally scheduled opening series against the Nationals.

The Mets have played five of their first seven games against the Phillies, going 3-2 in those contests.

About the Phillies

Phillies LogoPhiladelphia ranks 26th in the majors in runs per game with 3.7, a statistic that should begin improving soon because of all the firepower its lineup possesses. While former MVP Bryce Harper gets most of the attention, re-signing catcher JT Realmuto has proven to be a great choice in the early season, as he is batting .324 and playing his Gold Glove-caliber defense.

Shortstop Didi Gregorius is off to a hot start as well this season, batting .317 with two home runs and nine RBI. A pleasant surprise for the Phillies this season has been Alec Bohm, the 2018 No. 3 overall pick. The 24-year-old third baseman is building off of his 2020 season when he hit .338 in 160 at bats. Philadelphia is capable of making some serious noise in the National League East if Bohm can put together another season like that while adding more power.

About the Mets

Mets LogoThe Mets are even worse than the Phillies at scoring runs so far this season, ranking 28th in the majors at 3.4 runs per game. They added Francisco Lindor in an offseason trade to be their everyday shortstop and help bolster the lineup, but he has struggled mightily in the early going, batting only .174 with zero long balls.

New York fans are beginning to have an all-too familiar, sinking feeling: that the team’s pitching is going to have to win the day, nearly every day.That was not the intent when billionaire owner Steve Cohen paid handsomely to upgrade the lineup in the offseason. It is plenty early enough in the year, but without getting more help from the heart of the order, these are just the same old Mets.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Philadelphia Phillies -1½ (+135) -130 O 8 (-115)
New York Mets +1½ (-160) +110 U 8 (-105)

The Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia is giving the ball to right-hander Zack Wheeler today to take on his former team in the city where he spent the first seven years of his big-league career. Wheeler has been solid this year, going 1-1 with a 2.31 ERA in two starts against the Braves. Left-hander David Peterson will be toeing the rubber for New York on Wednesday night after an abysmal start in his first showing of the year against these Phillies, allowing six runs in only four innings of work.

What’s the Bet?
The best bet for this game is to ignore the preseason hype around the Mets and focus on the pitching matchup in this one. Wheeler is starting against his former team for the first time in his career and will certainly be looking to prove something. New York has not seen Wheeler yet this season, whereas Philadelphia recently saw and pummeled Peterson. The Phillies have a plethora of right-handed hitters that will be ready to jump on Peterson from the outset. There is no need to overthink this one. Back Philadelphia as short road favorites in a game where they have the massive starting pitcher advantage.
The Bet
Phillies ML

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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