Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB August 2, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves open a short two-game series at Truist Park this evening. Both clubs are hot, with the Phillies on a five-game winning streak entering Atlanta. They’ve also won six of their previous seven outings since July 25.

These two met last week at Citizens Bank Park and the Phillies came out as the winners with two of three wins. Since losing to the Braves on July 26, the Phillies have won five straight going into Truist Park.

Following the loss in the series finale, the Braves have won three straight games. They’re coming off a sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Braves used their superior pitching to wear down the Diamondbacks for a 5-2, 6-2, and 1-0 win over the weekend. In the finale on Sunday, Max Fried outdueled Merrill Kelly for the 1-run win.

A run was the only offense that Fried required for the win.

They need to keep winning games with Jacob deGrom back in the fold. DeGrom makes his return off the injured list tonight to make his debut on the mound in 2022.

The Mets now have deGrom and Scherzer in back-to-back starts. That’s some kind of a luxury to have in the rotation. The Braves have to hold tough and do their best to overcome a 3.5-game deficit in the NL East.

The Phillies will send Nick Nelson for the fourth start of his career tonight. He’s appeared in 27 games in 2022, with only one start in his portfolio. It’s going to be tough on Nelson and the Phillies with Spencer Strider scheduled for the Braves.

Head below for our free Phillies vs. Braves prediction on August 2, 2022.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-105) +185 Over 8 (-120)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-115) -225 Under 8 (+100)
Team Data Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 55-47 62-41
Away/Home Record 29-22 36-21
Batting Average .246 .246
Batting Average Away/Home .246 .251
Runs Per 9 4.73 4.81
Team ERA 3.76 3.60
Team ERA Away/Home 3.85 3.53

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction:

The Phillies are asking Nick Nelson to give them at least a solid few innings on the hill at Truist Park tonight. Nelson has never gone long on the mound in his career, so I’m not convinced that he’s going to be working much tonight.

Nelson is going into this start with an ERA of 3.94 and a 1.31 WHIP.

He’s primarily been used as a reliever, with just one start on July 10. Nelson went 2 innings, allowing 3 hits and 1 earned run to the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Since then, Nelson has made four appearances out of the bullpen as a reliever.

Nelson was in shaky form in his first two seasons, with a 4.79 ERA in 11 spots out of the bullpen in 2020 with the Yankees. In his final year in the Bronx, Nelson had an 8.79 ERA in 11 more appearances, with the Yankees saying goodbye following that campaign.

How’s he going to respond against a quality offense on the road tonight? The Braves are fifth in the majors with 4.74 runs per 9 innings and second with 1.56 home runs per game.

The Phillies bullpen can be good at times, but too inconsistent.

Spencer Strider is a converted reliever now in the rotation. He’s handled his duties well, as the young hurler enters this one with an ERA of 2.91 and a 1.02 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 7-0 overall in their previous seven games on the road
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games versus a team with a winning record
  • 6-20 overall in their previous 26 games on a Tuesday
  • 2-7 overall in their previous nine games at Atlanta
  • OVER is 5-1-1 in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games versus the Phillies at home
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games on a Tuesday
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games after a day off
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine first game of a series

  • Strider appeared in two games last year and the Braves had high aspirations for him this year. It’s working out well, as Strider has posted an ERA of 2.91 and a 1.02 WHIP.

    Strider has yielded 1 or fewer runs in five of his previous six attempts.

    In 13 at-bats, the Phillies haven’t scored a run with a .214 batting average against Strider. I feel more confident with Strider than Nelson on the bump in this one.

    He’s likely in for a quality performance, while Nelson is going to be a mixed bag at Truist Park. This looks like the perfect spot for the Phillies to have their winning streak snapped. I like the Braves by 2 or more runs.


    Phillies vs. Braves Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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