The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins play the first of three games at LoanDepot Park tonight. Philadelphia had the day off on Thursday following an 8-2 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. They were swept at the Rogers Centre for their fourth straight loss.
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) July 14, 2022
Philadelphia had something going on a three-game winning streak, including the first two games of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. However, they dropped the next two and then swept in Toronto.
Philadelphia has a nine-game deficit behind the New York Mets for the lead in the NL East. The Mets continue to lead, with the Braves cutting into that lead over the last month. It looks like another year of the Phillies chasing the wildcard late into the summer.
Why should we have confidence in an underperforming Phillies team? They are on the same roadmap as they’ve been down the last few years. At least the Marlins have a good-looking future ahead of them.
Andy got the treasure pic.twitter.com/5FlrQeEghW
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) July 14, 2022
The Marlins are going into this series at 43-45 following a 3-2 win in 11 innings over the Pirates on Thursday. Braxton Garrett was a gem on the mound, with 2 hits allowed across 6 innings of work.
Ace Sandy Alcantara has the call in the series opener at LoanDepot Park tonight. Veteran Kyle Gibson is scheduled on the hill for the Phillies. Head below for our free Phillies vs. Marlins prediction on July 15, 2022.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Live Betting Odds:
|Philadelphia Phillies||+1.5 (-170)||+139||Over 7 (-110)|
|Miami Marlins||-1.5 (+145)||-165||Under 7 (-110)|
|50% up to $1,000|
|125% up to $2,500|
|50% up to $1,000|
|100% up to $1,000|
|100% up to $500|
|100% up to $1,000|
|Team Data||Philadelphia Phillies||Miami Marlins|
|Batting Average Away/Home||.238||.248|
|Runs Per 9||4.74||4.25|
|Team ERA Away/Home||4.20||3.39|
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction:
The Marlins haven’t been a good team in over a decade, but they have been good at developing young pitchers. Sandy Alcantara is another big arm they’ve churned out in their organization, and importantly, locked him down with a five-year deal in 2021.
Cancel your plans.
The best pitcher in baseball starts tomorrow night. pic.twitter.com/Pr4sdiOb9v
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) July 15, 2022
Across six years of service in the major leagues, Alcantara has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. He’s well on pace for a career-high ERA after notching a career-high ERA of 3.19 last season. I won’t include the seven-start 3.00 ERA in 2020.
He’s sharpest at home, where Alcantara owns an ERA of 1.59 and a 0.79 WHIP through 68 innings. He’s allowed just 12 earned runs in nine outings at LoanDepot Park.
Alcantra takes on a cold Phillies offense in this one. Philadelphia is hitting .201 with 2 runs per 9 innings in their previous five outings, and .220 in their last ten with 3.52 runs. The Marlins have been cooler, though, with just 2.53 runs per 9 innings and a .197 average in ten games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Betting Trends:
- Record (Last 10): 5-5
- 0-4 overall in their previous four games on the road
- 1-5 overall in their previous six games after conceding 5 or more runs
- UNDER is 7-1 in their previous eight games
- UNDER is 10-1 in their previous 11 games after conceding 5 or more runs
- UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games on the road
- Record (Last 10): 4-6
- 1-7 overall in their previous eight games after conceding 2 or fewer runs
- 8-21 overall in their previous 29 games on a Friday
- UNDER is 5-1-2 in their previous eight games at home
- UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus a right-handed starter
- UNDER is 4-1-1 in their previous five games after a win
Edge to Alcantara over the Phillies’ bats. However, Kyle Gibson should be fine enough to keep the Phillies around tonight.
He doesn’t have the toughest Miami offense to deal with tonight, so Gibson should be in fine form. The Marlins are 20th with 4.27 runs per 9 innings, as they look to catch up to the pitching staff.
Alcantara can likely dictate the pace on this one on the mound. Expect him to put the Marlins in a good position to win, but run support may be a problem again. I will roll with UNDER in Miami tonight.