Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB June 7, 2022

The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers have a three-game series to get to on Tuesday night at American Family Field. After dropping three straight against the San Diego Padres, the Brewers are looking for better.

Milwaukee won the series opener, 5-4, but didn’t come close in their next three attempts, with a 7-0, 4-0, and 6-4 final. Eric Lauer did what he could to help the Brewers yesterday, but his 6 innings of 1 earned run baseball went to waste.

The Brewers are a half-game advantage on the St. Louis Cardianls for the lead in the NL Central. The Cardianls look like the best team in the division at the moment, but it’s a long season.

Milwaukee needs to be better, though, as they’ve lost five of their previous six outings. They were in good shape with three straight wins, but had to accept a split with the Cubs at Wrigley Field and then lost three of their four attempts.

The Phillies are in the opposite form right now, as they enter tonight with a record of 25-29. Up and down and all the way around sums up the Phillies season. It depends when you look at the Phillies to make a determination if they’re good or not.

The Phillies haven’t lost a game since Joe Girardi was fired.

In their most recent win, the Phillies finished off the Angels in dramatic fashion. Bryce Harper had a monster game, game-tying grand slam to erase a 4-run deficit. Then the Phillies went on for a 9-7 win.

This capped off a 10-0, 7-2, and 9-7 sweep of the Angels at Citizens Bank Park. Before the sweep, the Phillies had a five-game losing streak against the Mets and Giants. They avoided a sweep versus the Giants and then beat up on the Angels.

It’s important to be cautious with the Phillies, though. You never know what they’re going to do after a hot run.

The Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the bump at American Family Field. Jason Alexander is slated to counter for the Brewers.

Head below for our free Phillies vs. Brewers prediction on June 7, 2022.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-210) -110 Over 8.5 (-110)
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+175) -110 Under 8.5 (-110)
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Team Data Philadelphia Phillies Milwaukee Brewers
Overall Record 25-29 33-23
Away/Home Record 10-14 15-9
Batting Average .246 .230
Batting Average Away/Home .251 .236
Runs Per 9 4.81 4.50
Team ERA 3.99 3.41
Team ERA Away/Home 4.92 2.96

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction:

It wouldn’t hurt if the Phillies focused on improving their starting rotation. They can be fine, but the pitching has to catch up with the offense. The Phillies are the sixth-best team in the major leagues with an ERA of 4.80 and a team batting average of .246.

When Bryce Harper is heating up, good things tend to happen for the Phillies. They are also a top-10 home run team, with 1.22 lone balls per game. However, a guy like Ranger Suarez could afford to be better on the bump to help support the offense.

Suarez is a lefty that had a coming out party last season. Primarily as a reliever, Suarez posted an ERA of 1.36 and a 1.00 WHIP.

Suarez has been out of form in his previous three starts, with a 7.71 ERA and 2.14 WHIP. However, in his first full-time role in the rotation, Suarez hasn’t been at his best. Through ten starts, he’s notched an ERA of 4.69 and a 1.56 WHIP.

The Phillies’ bullpen is towards the backhalf of the majors, with an ERA of 3.99 and a 1.39 WHIP.

As a team, the Phillies are 18th in the major leagues with 4.46 runs allowed per 9 innings and a .243 batting average against. They must support the offense before the Phillies take off.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games
  • 8-20 overall in their previous 28 games as an underdog
  • OVER is 7-0-1 in their previous eight games versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter
  • OVER is 7-0-1 in their previous eight games as an underdog on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games versus the NL East
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games at home
  • OVER is 14-6-3 in their previous 23 games after a loss
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games at home
  • OVER is 5-2-3 in their previous in their previous ten games on a Tuesday

  • Jason Alexander made his major league debut against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Alexander had a strong start despite a 4-3 loss, with 2 earned runs allowed across 7 innings.

    The Cubs wasted chances with RISP, so Alexander wasn’t perfect, though.

    Alexander conceded 7 hits and 3 walks for a 1.43 WHIP and .357 OBP. If he does this enough, Alexander will watch his ERA rise considerably.

    The Phillies are hot at the dish right now, so Alexander has to be careful with his pitch selection in this one. Philadelphia can be a a streaky offense, and they’re feeling it at the moment.

    The total in this matchup looks a touch too low at American Family Field. I was anticipating 9 runs, so 8.5 runs looks like an opportunity to play the OVER.


    Phillies vs. Brewers Pick
    OVER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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