Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick – July 13

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to secure a win in their first game without Charlie Montoyo managing this talented squad. The first-time manager was fired hours before Wednesday’s clash vs. Philadelphia, and somewhat oddly, off of a big win last night vs. the Phillies.

It’s been a tough stretch for the Jays, losers of their past 9 of 11 contests – but a lengthy home-stretch could’ve seen them vault back atop the AL wild-care standings. Regardless, the Jays will be forced to move on, and know that they need to do a better job of playing to their potential. Former bench coach John Schneider will take over for the remainder of the season.

The Jays found a way to squeak out a narrow victory last night vs. the undermanned Phillies. They won 4-3, though there remains a lot of room for improvement. This offense continues to sputter in big moments, while their pitching remains quite erratic. They’ll go against one of Philadelphia’s best on Wednesday evening in Zach Wheeler. The talented right-hander has had a stellar season to date, and should be tough on Toronto’s relatively unchanged right-handed hitting lineup.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Phillies: Zack Wheeler (8-4, 2.46 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 104 strikeouts); Blue Jays: Ross Stripling (4-3, 3.34 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 55 strikeouts)

Countering for the Jays will be reliever turned starter, Ross Stripling. The veteran thrower has really salvaged a mediocre stretch of Blue Jays’ pitching, and provided quality innings during a time where they weren’t getting many. Though he has been challenged to work deeper into games, and still isn’t fully stretched out – Stripling should provide another serviceable outing vs. the Philadelphia lineup.

With the Jays fading fast, and a new manager at the helm, another win is desperately needed from Ross Stripling and this Jays squad on Wednesday night. As front offices finalize trade deadline plans, a big series for either Toronto or Philadelphia could go a long way in settling playoff positioning. Though these teams don’t play all that often, it should be another stellar one to close out a two-game series. For added insight, the latest news, trends, and analysis, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our breakdown and betting prediction for the last game of this thrilling Jays/Phillies series. Enjoy the game, folks!

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

  • Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-190)
  • Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+170)
  • Philadelphia Phillies (+100)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (-120)
  • Over 8.5 (-110)
  • Under 8.5 (-110)
Overall Record 46-42 46-42
Over/Under/Push 45-40-3 47-39-2
Home/Away Record 22-21 26-18
Runs Per Game 4.7 4.6
Runs Allowed Per Game 4.1 4.5
Team Batting Average .247 .257
Bullpen ERA 3.73 4.29

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction:

Despite the fact that the Phillies continue in Toronto having lost three straight games, and are without some pretty key pieces – look for them to get back on track vs. a massively flawed Toronto team.

While changing the manager might boost the morale of some of the disgruntled Jays’ stars, they’ll have to contend with a really talented pitcher Wednesday night at the Rogers Centre. Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler enters in fine form, and possesses the type of pitching arsenal that should give fits to the Jays’ hitters. He’s exceptionally tough on righties, and new coach John Schneider has oddly loaded the lineup once again with an array of right-handed batters. Definitely not a recipe for success.

Wheeler has been lights out since the month of April finished. Since that time, he’s pitched to a miniscule 1.53 ERA over his previous thirteen starts, and has thrown an impressive 17 straight scoreless innings entering Wednesday night. He’s dominated the Jays in the past, and should be game to do it once again.

And while Ross Stripling has generally been a positive for the Jays this season, his stuff is starting to fade. Teams have figured out Stripling of late, as he’s failed to work past the fifth inning in consecutive starts. He’s also been getting hit harder compared to earlier in the season, and while his change-up remains elite, teams are starting to sit off and avoid that pitch, and hit for power against his secondary stuff. With power-hitters Rhys Hoskins and Kyle Schwarber entering Toronto in excellent form, the Jays’ pitcher and a beaten-down bullpen behind him will need to be on high alert.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Trends To Know:

  • Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 14-6 in their last 20 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Phillies are 25-12 in their last 37 overall.
  • Blue Jays are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Blue Jays are 3-13 in their last 16 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

With the Jays slumping with both their pitching and hitting, it’s hard to see any big changes to their results without getting healthier pitchers, or a more balanced lineup.  This offense should struggle vs. Wheeler on Wednesday night, and look for the Phillies to bounceback from yesterday’s defeat.  They remain one of the hottest teams in baseball since their managerial change, and perhaps the Jays will find the same magic, but not on Wednesday evening against one of the main candidates for the NL Cy Young.  Getting Wheeler as a slight underdog seems to be quite the gift, so back the Phillies at +100 on Wednesday night.

Our Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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