Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick – September 23, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Zach Eflin (2-2, 4.28 ERA) vs. Erick Fedde (2-3, 4.36 ERA)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals meet for the fourth and final time in this particular series on Wednesday at Nationals Park. The Nationals are looking for a sweep over the Phillies and company today following a double-header sweep on Tuesday.

The defending champs aren’t going to the postseason, but they can still make life miserable for Bryce Harper. If the postseason started today, the Nationals would be outside of the playoffs. The Milwaukee Brewers currently have the edge, though are in a three-way tie with the Giants and Brewers.

The Brewers have the tiebreaker over the Giants and Phillies. All the Phillies had to do was win one of the first three games in this series in Washington and they’d be up right now. Although, the Phillies have taken losses of 5-1 twice and then 8-7 last night in eight innings. I don’t think any of these bottom teams deserve a chance to play the Dodgers in the first round.

A record of .500 should not be enough to grant a team a chance to pull off an upset. All it takes is one series for the Dodgers to go cold. I’d actually prefer a Wild Card play-in game to get rid of some of these teams instead of offering them a chance in a five-game series. There will be a five-game play-in series for an invitation to Arlington.

I was never for the Wild Card Game when they implemented it, and now with this new system, I kind of wish they kept it for this year. Weeding out the bad of the bad would have been nice before they see a good team. In any event, the Phillies may get an opportunity against the best of the National League as a .500 club.

They will have to wake up quickly, though. The Phillies have not been good, and look to put an end to a four-game losing streak on Wednesday. Before losing against the Nats thrice, the Phillies lost versus the Blue Jays on Sunday. Zach Eflin will get the call for the Phillies, while Erick Fedde counters for the Nationals. Head below for our free Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals pick for September 23, 2020.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Odds:


  • Phillies -1.5 (+115)
  • Nationals +1.5 (-135)

  • Phillies (-138)
  • Nationals (+128)

  • Over 9.5 (-110)
  • Under 9.5 (-110)

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Prediction:

Zach Eflin is pitching like Zach Eflin in 2020. He’s an average hurler that has been average. In five years in the major leagues, Eflin has recorded an ERA of 4.68 and 1.34 WHIP through 87 games. He goes into tonight with an ERA of 4.28 and 1.37 WHIP in nine starts in 48.1 innings of work. It’s been more of the same for Eflin. He’s coming off a brilliant performance after struggling for three straight games.

Eflin conceded 10 earned runs through 15 innings of work. That was until Eflin turned it on against the Blue Jays in Toronto. He went 7 innings with just 4 hits and no runs allowed. That hasn’t been the norm for Eflin this season, though. Eflin has allowed at least 3 earned runs in six out of nine starts.

Also note that Eflin gave up at least 3 earned runs in six of his previous eight tilts, so I wouldn’t be so sure that one good start against the Blue Jays says much. Eflin has been an inconsistent pitcher throughout his career. The Nats have notched 5 home runs and 15 RBI against Eflin across 112 at-bats.

The bullpen has been utter trash for the Phillies this season, so even if Eflin gets out of this with a decent statline, the relievers could very well blow it. The Phillies’ bullpen owns a 7.21 ERA and could go into the postseason with the all-time worst ERA in Major League Baseball history. Kyle McGowin and Wander Suero of the Nats conceded 2 hits and 2 earned runs through 1.2 innings on Tuesday night to help keep the Phillies in the game.

The good news for the Phils is that they’ve destroyed Erick Fedde this season. Fedde has a 8.18 ERA and record of 0-2 against the Phillies this season. Overall, the Phillies are hitting .346 with a .391 against Fedde in 65 at-bats. We should be able to get to double digits on the scoreboard in the series finale at Nationals Park on Wednesday.


The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.