Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Pick – MLB August 4, 2021

The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals have two more games at Nationals Park. The Nationals have two more chances to avoid getting swept by the Phillies, and two wins would provide them with a split. Philadelphia is coming off a 7-5 and 5-4 win over the Nationals. Zack Wheeler kept the Nationals off the board through 6 innings.

The Phillies took a 4-0 lead going into the bottom of the 7th, but Wheeler ended up leaving the game with 8 hits and 4 earned runs allowed. He just ran out of gas all of the sudden and the Nationals were able to take advantage. The Nationals added 2 runs in the 7th, and then 2 more in the 8th to cover the runline in a 5-4 loss. Tough loss for Philadelphia runline backers. It happens.

In any case, the Phillies were able to do all they care about which is win the game. They advanced to 54-53 on the season and just a 1.5-game behind the New York Mets. With the Mets’ rotation reeling because of injuries, it almost feels like it’s a matter of time before the Phillies take control. The Mets can only hope that they will get healthy enough in time to hold off the Phillies, or maybe even the Braves who are just 2.5 games back now.

The Nationals are unbelievably still alive with a 6.5-game deficit in the NL East. They have a record of 49-58 and could technically go on a strong run to overcome this deficit over the next two months. It doesn’t look likely, and they don’t look like a team in the kind of form ready to compete with the top-3 teams in the division. The Nats are expected to send Paolo Espinso to the bump against Chase Anderson this evening. Head below for our free Phillies vs. Nationals pick on August 4, 2021.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Odds:


  • Phillies +1.5 (-205)
  • Nationals -1.5 (+175)

  • Phillies -101
  • Nationals -109

  • Over 9 (-120)
  • Under 9 (+100)


Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction:

Chase Anderson has been the backend option for the Phillies in the rotation. He has been regressing over the last few years, and Anderson hit a career-low last season. Anderson was torched for a 7.22 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. This was after he went from a 2.74 ERA, 3.93 ERA, and 4.21 ERA in his three previous seasons.

Anderson has been used as a reliever and starter this season. The Phillies don’t really want to use Anderson as a starter, but the Zach Eflin injury has forced their hand. Anderson goes into tonight with a shaky ERA of 6.75 and a 1.52 WHIP. He’s been a mess on the road with a 8.74 ERA and 1.68 WHIP. In his last five appearances, Anderson hasn’t lasted more than 4 innings.

The problem with a pitcher like Anderson that typically doesn’t go long is that he turns the ball over to a bullpen that isn’t the best. The Phillies’ bullpen has a team ERA of 4.56 and 1.41 WHIP. They are slightly better than the Nationals, though. The Nationals have a team ERA of 4.72 and 1.33 from their relievers. Rookie Paolo Espino has appeared in 24 games, eight as a starting pitcher. He’s been holding up well, but has been on a pitch count this season.

Espino hasn’t pitched more than 5.1 innings in his career. His numbers have been solid, though, with an ERA of 3.08 and a 1.04 WHIP. That said, Espino has conceded at least 3 earned runs in four of his previous six attempts. The Phillies have been seeing the ball well recently, as they’ve scored 9 runs per game in their last three outings. The OVER should get there in this matchup at Nationals Park.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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