Phillies vs. Braves MLB Pick – September 21st

It was another night at the office that the Philadelphia Phillies would like to forget about. The second-half of the season has turned into a disaster, as they’ve fallen quickly out of contention in the NL East. For most of the season, it looked like this was going to come down to the wire between the Braves and Phillies. Unless the Phillies win the next three games in Atlanta, which is a possibility, and then win a four-game series against the Rockies, the rematch between the Braves and Phillies at the end of the season isn’t going to mean much.

Possible, but it’s looking like the Braves have this wrapped up with heavy odds in their favor. On the surface it doesn’t sound like the most impossible scenario, but we’re dealing with a Phillies team that had the momentum sucked out of their clubhouse weeks ago. Meanwhile, the Braves used it as an opportunity to put some separation between themselves and the Phillies.

But, what about the Phillies getting a wildcard? The odds of that are slim as well. They’d have to play well and then hope the Diamondbacks, Rockies, and Cardinals all crash and burn. That’s not going to happen, so in conclusion, better luck next season, Phillies. They could have a guy by the name of Bryce Harper in their lineup next season, so that would provide an immediate pop.

The most recent noise is that the Cubs are favorites to acquire his services. At the end of the day, no one really knows so it’s best not to speculate too much. They are likely going to come up short this year, but this Braves and Phillies rivalry at the top of the division likely isn’t going anywhere. For the Nationals to have a shot, it’s imperative Stephen Strasburg is healthy from April to October. With Harper probably gone, their lineup would look different. He’s been a fixture with the Nats since coming into the majors. Nick Pivetta will be tasked with slowing the Braves down, while Julio Teheran will get the call for the Braves. Get our free Phillies vs. Braves pick below.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Pick

Nick Pivetta (7-13, 4.67 ERA) vs. Julio Teheran (9-8, 3.97 ERA)

The Braves’ offense erupted late to secure an 8-3 victory. It puts them a game closer to clinching the NL East. Their magic number is now 4, so barring a collapse, they’re going to be playing baseball in October. The Red Sox and Indians have already clinched, while we await others to come in. Atlanta are the next closest team to locking in their division.

Phillies’ starter, Nick Pivetta, has seen progress after faltering in his rookie season a year ago. He went 26 starts with an ERA of 6.02 in 2017. Pivetta brought that number down to a 4.67 ERA thus far this season. Not great but showing signs of improvement are key with young pitchers. Most of his trouble spots have come on the road, as he holds an ERA of 5.14, 1.43 WHIP, and .343 OBA in a city other than Philadelphia.

Teheran has stepped it up for the Braves recently. In eight seasons with the Braves, his entire career spent there, Teheran has been a model of consistency. However, he’s never been to a World Series. The Braves went to the postseason in 2021 and 2013, but the NLDS is the furthest they got. With the way he’s been pitching, he can certainly help out in October. Teheran enters with an ERA of 2.12 in his previous three starts. In his last seven, he’s been good for a 2.53 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. I question if the Phillies are really going to be motivated to play tonight. Last night might have been a curb stomp on their season. I will ride with the Braves again on Friday.

The Bet: BRAVES (-135)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.