Phillies vs. Braves Pick MLB – August 12th

There isn’t much to say about yesterday, as that bet was I think the most off I have been on a pick all season long. Most of my losses this year have come as a result of a run here and mistake there, but there wasn’t any question from early on that I was ripping a ticket up. The Atlanta Braves smacked the Miami Marlins, 9-4, which obviously went well over the posted total of 7. Like the Braves did yesterday, it’s time to get back in the win column today, which ironically enough is another Braves game.

Free MLB Pick

Philadelphia Phillies +156 at Atlanta Braves -175

Cole Hamels (4-13, 3.81 ERA) vs. Julio Teheran (9-5, 2.96)

The Atlanta Braves had their unprecedented win streak of 14 games snapped on Saturday. However, the Braves got right back into their winning ways taking care of the Marlins convincingly. If they are going to start a new streak, they will need to do it against a pretty solid pitcher in Cole Hamels. The Braves will trot out a pitcher that certainly one ups Hamels in my opinion, though. While I think Hamels has the name behind him, Julio Teheran brings more talent to the table at this point in their careers.

I don’t think many people are aware of who Teheran really is outside of Braves’ fans. While this is true, I think he deserves more recognition for the way he has pitched in 2013. Teheran holds a 2.96 ERA and has been unhittable of late. In his last three starts, Teheran has shut the Cardinals, Rockies, and Nationals all down. All three of those teams, especially the Cardinals, have the potential to score plenty, but he held the Cardinals to no runs and allowed only 1 against the Rockies and Nationals. His ERA lately is of course excellent with a 1.00 combined in those games. Teheran’s ERA also takes a slight dip when pitching at home to 2.66 compared to his 2.96 overall.

Teheran’s counterpart, Hamels, has also been pitching well of late. With a 1.64 ERA in his last three starts, Hamels has looked like the player of old. The thing with Hamels is that if he is on, then he is on and nearly untouchable, but if he is off then he has the potential to give up 4 or so runs. If you look at his numbers this season you’ll find lots of 1 or 2 runs allowed, and then followed up with an ugly 4. Teheran should be able to keep the Phillies in check, so it is up to Hamels to keep pace to keep them in the contest. I can see Hamels producing another solid game, maybe not enough to win it for the Phillies, but enough to turn this into a low scoring affair. Consequently, I advise taking a look at the under for tonight

Free Pick: UNDER 7