Phillies vs. Marlins MLB Pick – August 24th

The Philadelphia Phillies got started early against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park last night. Despite no Bryce Harper’s bat, the Phillies notched 4 runs in the 1st inning to jump all over Hector Noesi. A Corey Dickerson triple in the 2nd inning made it a 6-0 game. Noesi has no business pitching in a major league rotation, but the Marlins are in full tank mode, and Noesi is directing one of the tanks currently.

If the Marlins cared about winning games, they wouldn’t have signed him to begin with and pulled after 6 runs were on the board. Their record of 45-81 is a pretty good sign that they don’t care about winning at this point, though. Or, even before that, trading Giancarlo Stanton and Christian Yelich.

If Jose Fernandez didn’t get into the accident and was alive today, how confident are we that the Marlins were going to pay him? Not too confident. He would likely be on a big market team making a lot of money. In any event, the Marlins fought back with a power surge in the 3rd inning.

They had their biggest inning of the season, as Miami recorded 7 runs to tie the game up instantly. Vince Velasquez was pitching decently enough, but that was a bad spot that will skew his numbers up.

Entertaining Marlin games have been hard to find this season, but last night was a pretty good one. The Phillies and Marlins will meet again on Saturday with two pitchers who are hoping for much better results. Zach Eflin hasn’t had great results this season.

He’s been a much better option for the Phillies out of the bullpen, but he will get consecutive starts for the first time since July 27th. He was removed from the rotation after getting whacked against the Braves. Rookie Jordan Yamamoto will be in for the Marlins. Head below for our free Phillies vs. Marlins pick.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Phillies -125/Marlins +105
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Zach Eflin (7-11, 4.57 ERA)
  • Jordan Yamamoto (4-4, 4.31 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Philadelphia Phillies were hoping for a breakout campaign out of Zach Eflin this season. it hasn’t happened and they’ve struggled to fill in the backend of their rotation. Acquiring Jason Vargas made perfect sense to bolster their rotation. Eflin would maybe get to help in the rotation in the postseason, but making the playoff rotation looks highly unlikely.

Before getting demoted to the bullpen, Eflin posted an ERA of 10.45 with a 2.42 WHIP and .456 OBA in three outings. The last straw was a poor effort against the Braves, as he got wrecked for 7 hits and a total of 10 runs in 2.2 innings. Leading up to his demotion, Eflin allowed 27 runs in 15.2 innings of work. The Phillies really had no choice. Either end him to the minors or bullpen and they went with the bullpen.

In his first start back in the rotation, Eflin was wobbly against the Padres a week ago. He was out there for 3.2 innings and yielded 7 hits and 3 earned runs. It could have been worse, but he avoided a home run, which would have made for another disaster for him. The Marlins have been decent against Eflin, with a .270 batting average and 13 runs in 137 at-bats.

He might be okay in this game, but Jordan Yamamoto has the potential to get touched up nicely in this one as well. I think one of them is going to get hit pretty hard. Both teams were swinging a hot bat on Friday night and it likely continues for at least one. Yamamoto started off real nice as a rookie, but he’s regressed since.

The youngster has allowed at least 4 earned runs in five of his last six outings. Yamamoto has not been sharp at home, as he enters with a 5.23 ERA in 31 innings at Marlins Park. A total of 8.5 seems to be a mistake by the oddsmakers here. There should be at least 9 runs on the board in this one to put the game OVER the total.

The Bet
OVER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.