Phillies vs. Marlins MLB Pick – August 25th

The Philadelphia Phillies got started early and didn’t let go of their lead this time. Philadelphia went up by 5 runs in the 4th inning thanks to a 6-run inning against Jordan Yamamoto. The rookie was in a nice groove for the Marlins, but he ultimately unraveled and couldn’t make it past 3.2 innings. Tough one for Yamamoto, who looked locked in for a while. It’s hard to feel too comfortable against quick strike offenses, though.

The Phillies did it all without Bryce Harper again, as he is off for paternity leave. They’ve scored 20 runs the last two days, which included 11 runs on Friday night. That was a still a loss, though, as the Phillies blew a 7-run lead in rather quick fashion.

It’s best to put a game like that out of the memory bank fast and that’s exactly what the Phillies were able to accomplish. They rode that 6-run inning to a 9-3 win. Zach Eflin had a nice evening for the Phillies. That’s a good sign for the Phillies, as they’ve been waiting a long time for him to find a groove. If he can get going late in the season, that’d be like adding a whole new pitcher to the rotation.

With the win, the Phillies are a 67-61 club going into Sunday. That puts them well out of the NL East, as the Braves keep on rolling. Most recently, the Braves were taking care of business against the Mets at Citi Field. After a drama filled win in extras Friday, the Braves handled the Mets easily last night.

The Phillies are still right there when it comes to the wildcard. They’re the first team out at this moment with a 1.5-game deficit. Aaron Nola will get the starting nod this afternoon, while Elieser Hernandez goes for the Marlins at home. Head below for our free Phillies vs. Marlins pick.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Phillies -210/Marlins +180
  • O/U: 8

Pitching Matchup:

  • Aaron Nola (12-3, 3.51 ERA)
  • Elieser Hernandez (2-5, 5.18 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Aaron Nola isn’t on pace to break his career-high ERA of 2.37 from a season ago, but he in fine form to add yet another excellent campaign to his mantle. Nola posted a 3.54 ERA in 2017, so this is right on track for that year. He’s been a consistent option and a guy that the Phillies can rely on to get the job done.

Nola may be out of the Cy Young hunt, but he may end up being one of the most valuable pieced to the puzzle for the Phillies down the stretch. He has allowed 2 or less runs in 9 out of his last 11 outings. Additionally, Nola rolls into Miami with a 2.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his previous three contests.

The Marlins have done a serviceable job against Nola in their careers, with a .252 batting average. Nola is hot right now, though, and it isn’t like Elieser Hernandez figures to be overly effective against the Phillies on Sunday. Hernandez has been an okay member of the rotation for the Marlins in 2019.

On a team that is bad as they are, an ERA of 5.18 is okay. He will tasked with slowing down a Philadelphia offense who have been on fire the last two days in Miami. While Hernandez has been better at home, with a 4.32 ERA, expect him to struggle in this contest. I would ride the Phillies to notch another victory against the Marlins this afternoon.

The Bet
PHILLIES -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.