Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick – Tuesday, August 20th

Monday’s light MLB slate is a distant memory. The schedule is jam-packed today with one game in the afternoon and another 15 on tap for this evening. Our attention will be on Fenway Park for the opener of an interesting two-game set between two squads in the thick of the playoff chase.

The Philadelphia Phillies will be in Boston to take on the red-hot Rd Sox, who enter tonight’s tilt having won their last five games in a row. The Phillies have lost their last two in a row and check in with a mark of 3-2 over the last five games.

Both clubs are in 3rd place in their respective divisions with lots of ground to make up. However, they are also alive in the Wild Card chase. The Phillies are two games back of a spot in the National League, while the Red Sox are six games back in the American League race.

This should be a fun two-game set, and the projected run total suggests we could see the scoreboard lit up this evening. Let’s take a look at this contest in full detail, starting with the way the oddsmakers see it.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox, 7:10 PM EST, MLBN

Spread:

  • Philadelphia +1 ½ (-190)
  • Boston -1 ½ (+165)
Money line:

  • Philadelphia -101
  • Boston -109
Total Points:

  • Over 11 (-104)
  • Under 11 (-116)

Betting odds provided by Sportsbetting.ag

Phillies vs. Red Sox Pick:

Philadelphia spent the weekend at home for three with the San Diego Padres. After taking the opener by a score of 8-4, they fell in the final two games by a combined 8-5. In Sunday’s finale, it was a 3-2 decision for the Padres with Jean Segura driving in both of the Phillies runs.

The team fared much better earlier last week. They swept a series at home over the Chicago Cubs, winning the three games by a combined 22-8. The team carried the momentum over into the series with the Padres to extend the winning streak to four before falling flat over the final two games.

The Red Sox were also at home over the weekend. They played host to the Baltimore Orioles and teed off on their division rivals for a three-game sweep. The combined score for the set was 26-8 in favor of the hosts with the visitors putting up seven of their runs in the final game.

The team was in Cleveland to begin last week for a three-game set with the Indians. They lost the opener by a score of 6-5 but bounced back to win the final two by a combined 12-7. Boston has now won five in a row, which comes on the heels of the club dropping three straight.

The Matchup

REC STRE L10 STD RS RA
Philadelphia 64-60 L2 5-5 3-NL East 592 610
Boston 67-59 W5 7-3 3-AL East 731 649

Philadelphia opens up a quick five-game road swing with tonight’s game. They just wrapped up a 4-2 homestand. On the year, the club is 38-28 on the home field and 26-32 in away games. For the month of August, the club is 8-9.

Over the past 10 games, the team checks in at 5-5. The team is just 1-4 for its last five series. They’re currently nine games back of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East, and two games off the pace for the Wild Card. The team’s run differential for the year stands at -18.

Boston is closing out a five-game homestand with this set. They’re 3-0 so far and have a mark of 33-32 at home on the season. The club has fared better on the road this year with a record of 34-27 to date. The team has caught fire recently and won seven of its last 10 games.

The Red Sox have turned it around after a rough start to August and are 8-9 for the month to date. For the last five series, the team is 2-1-2. The team has a run differential of +82 on the year, which is 7th in the AL.

The Bats

HR RBI AVG OBP SLG RSL5
Philadelphia 158 564 .246 .322 .420 31
Boston 198 699 .277 .347 .481 38

Boston has the overall edge at the plate, but the results are similar over the last five games. Jean Segura is batting .284 to lead Philadelphia. Bryce Harper is tops on the team with 26 homers and 90 RBIs. He left the last game with dehydration and is considered day-to-day. Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with a .332 BA and 101 ribbies. JD Martinez is the team leader with 28 HRs.

Starting Pitchers

W-L IP ERA WHIP K/9 OPS
Aaron Nola-R 11-3 154.1 3.56 1.26 10.09 .700
Brian Johnson-L 1-1 22.1 6.45 2.01 6.85 .989

Nola has started 26 games this year and is having a solid season. He has wins in three of his last four outings. For his last start, he allowed one earned run over seven innings in a win over the Cubs. Johnson has 10 total appearances and five starts under his belt this year. The majority of his recent appearances have been short stints. He pitched 2.2 innings last week versus the Indians.

The Bullpens

ERA SV IP OPS WHIP K/9
Philadelphia 4.61 29 431.1 .794 1.43 9.06
Boston 4.28 24 487.1 .736 1.36 10.60

The overall advantage goes to the Red Sox, but the Phillies aren’t that far behind. Over his last 10 games, Nola has pitched six innings or more eight times. Johnson has only reached five innings once in his 10 appearances with the other nine all being for three innings or less.

Previous Meetings

Tonight marks the first time these two clubs will hook up this season. They’ll be facing off in another two-game series in Philadelphia in September.

The Verdict

MLB betting sites have made this game close to a toss-up with the visitors a slight favorite. The Red Sox are rolling, but Nola has been real solid on the season as a whole. We’ll look for that to be the difference makers and like the Phillies to take the series opener.

My Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Chris Feery / Author

Chris has been covering sports professionally since 2014. Initially focused on the NFL and College Football, he has branched out to cover all of the other major team sports such as MLB, NHL, NBA, and College Basketball. Chris also has extensive experience in the world of fantasy sports. His work has been recognized on two separate occasions by the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association. From parlays to power rankings and previews to picks, Chris prides himself on delivering exceptional content with actionable information.