Phillies vs. Reds Pick – MLB June 10th

Masahiro Tanka showcased last night once again why his injury isn’t hampering him since his return to the Yankees. Tanaka got the better of the Washington National lineup and dummied them, allowing only 1 run in 7 innings pitched. I am sure Tanaka could have went out for another inning, but the Yankees’ are going to play it safe with him. No use in overworking the prize of your pitching rotation, who they will definitely need later in the season if they want a place in the postseason. Tanka figures to be a fixture in their rotation for years now as well. No loss with taking him out though, as the Yankee bullpen picked up for Tanaka and didn’t allow another run out of the Nationals. Max Scherzer held up right alongside Tanaka until the 7th inning, where he got tattooed for 4 runs. Depending on what you had, you either suffered a bad push or won your bet by .5. The line I locked in with was 7, so I ended up pushing that bet. I am sure many of you got in at 7.5 and cashed in, though.

I have two picks going tonight, along with my nightly MLB pick, the NHL playoffs continue with game 4 in Chicago between the Lightning and Blackhawks. But our focus here is for baseball. Wednesday’s, as usual, feature an early afternoon card and action later in the day in the evening. Today we are taking a look at an early afternoon game or morning depending where on where you are reading this from. The first matchup for Wednesday is the Philadelphia Phillies and Cincinnati Reds, playing in game 3 of this National League series. The Reds mopped the floor with the Nationals in their first two meetings, a 6-4 win followed up by a 11-2 victory. Jerome Williams and Jon Moscot take the mound early Wednesday afternoon in Cincinnati.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Jerome Williams (3-5, 5.68 ERA) vs. Jon Moscot (0-1, 7.20 ERA)

The Phillies have been doing about everything they can right now with what they have to work with. Like many predicted, they had a small window of opportunity to win a World Series a few years ago when they were throwing cash around on pitchers. That investment didn’t exactly come up gold for the Phillies. They are suffering the consequences today, as the Phillies are left with a pretty bare team, including a pitching staff that has been getting destroyed at every turn. Additionally, Chase Utley and Ryan Howard are shells of their former selves. Especially Utley, who is hitting only .188 this season. For a player that was one of the most consistent and reliable in the game, this season has been a fall from grace. Unfortunately, Utley is finishing his career up in dire straits in Philadelphia. But pitchers that include the likes of Jerome Williams, it doesn’t eve matter how the offense is doing. In fact, the offense has been playing considerably well, scoring 4 or more runs in seven out of their last eight games.

You can’t be really successful though when your pitching staff is allowing around 6 runs a game. Williams is part of that problem and it hasn’t been getting any better for him. In his last three outings, Williams posted an ERA of 6.46 with a whopping 1.70 WHIP and .400 OBP. He has allowed less than 3 runs only once in his last ten starts. Note that Williams brings a 7.46 ERA on the road in 25.1 innings pitched.

The Reds’ Jon Moscot is making his second start of his major league career today against the Phillies. His first didn’t go according to plan, getting rocked for a 7.20 ERA in a home start against the Padres. Today he looks to rebound against the Phillies who have actually been swinging the bats well. Both teams trend to the OVER. The OVER is 8-2 in the Phillies last ten games, currently on a 8-0 OVER run. Conversely, the Reds are 9-1 to the OVER in their last ten. Looks like another good day for an OVER for the Phillies and Reds with Williams and Moscot taking on the starting duties.

PICK: OVER 8.5 RUNS (-110)