Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs MLB Pick – July 26

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball action on July 26. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Tuesday. One of these games will be between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs. These two teams have struggled this season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 2:20 PM Eastern time on MLB Network.

Pittsburgh has earned a record of 40-57 this season, which has them sitting in third place of the NL Central. The Pirates have lost their last two games and are 3-7 throughout their last 10 games. Pittsburgh has fallen out far out of the playoff race, but will still look for a strong finish. The Pirates will look to come out fast on the road in this one.

The Cubs have put up a record of 39-57 on the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL Central. Chicago has won their last five games, but are 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Cubs are also far out of a playoff spot, but will look for a quick start. Chicago will look to remain hot at home on Tuesday afternoon.

These two teams have been struggling throughout this season and will look for the win in this day game. The Pirates have struggled a bit as of late and will look to bounce back in this one. Chicago has won their last five games and will look to remain hot coming out of the All-Star break. If either team can get the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Pittsburgh Pirates +148
Chicago Cubs -180
Team Data Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago Cubs
Overall Record 40-57 39-57
Away/ Home Record 19-32 19-32
Batting Average .221 .246
Batting Average Away/ Home .219 .252
ERA 4.63 4.45
ERA Away/ Home 4.52 4.27

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • 9-12 in July games
  • 4-10 when playing on Tuesday
  • 18-28 against divisional opponents
  • 18-23 in day games
  • 24-36 against right handers
  • 27-31 after a loss
  • 23-24 against team with a losing record

Chicago Cubs

  • 9-11 in July
  • 5-9 when playing on a Tuesday
  • 21-21 against division rivals
  • 17-19 in day games
  • 28-41 against right handed starters
  • 18-19 after a win
  • 10-22 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up fourteen times throughout this season. The first two games were split in Pittsburgh. Chicago hosted the next four games, but the Pirates won three of the four. The next three stayed in Chicago, but this time the Cubs won two of the three games. Pittsburgh hosted the next four and won three of those four matchups. Chicago won the first game of this set.

Offense

The Pirates have struggled a bit at the plate on the season. Pittsburgh has a .221 batting average, which is 29th in the league. The Pirates have posted an OBP of .289, which is 28th in the MLB. Pittsburgh has earned a .655 OPS, which is also 28th in the league. The Pirates have a BA of .221 against righties this season.

Chicago has been solid hitting the ball throughout the season. The Cubs have a batting average of .246, which is 14th in the MLB. Chicago has earned a .321 on base percentage, which is 7th in the league. The Cubs have put up an OPS of .719, which is 12th in the MLB. Chicago has hit .247 against right handers.

The Cubs have the edge with the bats in their hands in this one. Chicago has been much better at the plate and will look to keep it going. The Cubs had nine hits with three runs in Monday’s win, while Pittsburgh had eight hits and two runs. Chicago has outscored the Pirates 77-56 in the season series. 

Pitching Preview

I expect Bryce Wilson to get the start at pitcher for Pittsburgh in this one. Wilson has appeared in 12 games this season, going 1-5 in those matchups. He has posted a 6.52 ERA and a WHIP of 1.65 in those outings. Wilson pitched three and a third innings in his last start against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up four hits and two runs in the no decision.

Keegan Thompson will likely get the nod on the mound for the Cubs on Tuesday afternoon. Thompson has earned a record of 7-4 throughout his 20 appearances this season. He has earned an ERA of 3.43 and a 1.25 WHIP in those games. Thompson’s last start was against the New York Mets. He gave up eight hits and five runs through four and a third innings in the loss.

Thompson has been the better pitcher on the season, but Wilson will look to step up early in this one. Chicago has the edge in the bullpen in this one. The Cubs relievers have a 4.21 ERA, which is 22nd in the league. The Pirates bullpen has combined for an ERA of 4.66, which is 29th in the MLB. Both teams will look for pitching to step up in this one.

Pick Overview

Chicago has been on a roll out of the All-Star break and will look to keep it going against the Pirates. Pittsburgh will look to bounce back though after a rough outing on Monday night. Wilson has shown some solid signs this season and the Pirates will look for him to step up. If Pittsburgh can give him an early lead to work with, I think he can get the win.

Bovada has Chicago listed as a -180 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Cubs will win this game around 64.3 percent of the time. I think that this line is too big for two teams struggling on the season. Chicago is due for a loss and I expect the Pirates to bounce back. As big underdogs, I like the value on Pittsburgh.

The Bet
Pittsburgh Pirates
+148
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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