Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins MLB Pick – July 13

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action throughout July 13. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout Wednesday. One of these games will be between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins. These two teams have struggled this season, but will look for the win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 6:40 PM Eastern time.

Pittsburgh has earned a record of 38-50 throughout this season, which has them sitting in third place of the NL Central. The Pirates have won four games in a row and are 6-4 throughout their last 10 games. Pittsburgh is nine games out of a wild card spot entering this one. The Pirates will look to move up in the standings with another big win in this one.

The Marlins have put up a record of 41-45 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL East. Miami has lost two games in a row, but are 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Marlins are five games back on a wild card spot to this point in the season. Miami will look to bounce back with a big win at home.

These two teams are both sitting outside of the playoff picture to this point in the season, but will look for a win in this one. The Pirates have been solid as of late and will look to keep their winning streak going. Miami has lost their last two, but will look to get back in the win column. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Pittsburgh Pirates +1 ½ (-145) +148 Over 7 (-110)
Miami Marlins -1 ½ (+125) -180 Under 7 (-110)
Team Data Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins
Overall Record 38-50 41-45
Away/ Home Record 18-27 20-19
Batting Average .222 .240
Batting Average Away/ Home .217 .253
ERA 4.67 3.79
ERA Away/ Home 4.56 3.52

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • 7-5 in July games
  • 8-6 when playing on Wednesday
  • 21-30 in night games
  • 23-31 against right handers
  • 13-22 after a win
  • 1-2 after three or more straight wins
  • 21-17 against team with a losing record

Miami Marlins

  • 7-5 in July
  • 6-7 when playing on a Wednesday
  • 24-28 in night games
  • 30-38 against right handed starters
  • 22-23 after a loss
  • 23-17 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up twice throughout this set. Diego Castillo and Jake Marisnick both had two RBI’s in the first matchup. Mitch Keller pitched seven innings, giving up five hits and one run as the Pirates earned a 5-1 win. Oneil Cruz, Jason Delay and Marisnick all had an RBI in Tuesday’s tilt as Pittsburgh won 3-2. 

Offense

The Pirates have struggled a bit hitting the ball this season. Pittsburgh has a .222 batting average, which is 29th in the league. The Pirates have earned an OBP of .289, which is 28th in the MLB. Pittsburgh has put up a .664 OPS, which is also 28th in the league. The Pirates have a BA of .220 against right handers.

Miami has been solid at the plate throughout the season. The Marlins have a batting average of .240, which is 17th in the MLB. Miami has posted a .304 on base percentage, which is 23rd in the league. The Marlins have earned an OPS of .692, which is 17th in the MLB. Miami has hit .246 against righties this season.

The Marlins have been the better team at bat throughout this season and will look to gain the edge in this one. Miami has 10 hits and three runs throughout this set so far. Pittsburgh has earned 18 hits and 8 runs in those two games. If either team can hit well early in this matchup, it could be enough to get the win.

Pitching Preview

JT Brubaker will likely get the start on the mound for Pittsburgh in this one. Brubaker has started in 17 games this season, going 2-8 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.34 ERA and a WHIP of 1.47 in those outings. Brubaker pitched five innings in his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers. He gave up five hits and three runs in the loss.

I expect Pablo Lopez to get the nod at pitcher for the Marlins on Wednesday night. Lopez has earned a record of 6-4 throughout his 17 starts on the season. He has put up an ERA of 2.91 and a 1.07 WHIP in those performances. Lopez’s last start was against the New York Mets. He gave up four hits and one run through five innings in the winning effort.

These two pitchers have been solid this season. Brubaker has won two of his last four starts and will look to build on it. Lopez will also look to build on the win his last time on the mound. Miami has the edge in the bullpen as well in this one. The Marlins relievers have a 4.07 ERA, which is 19th in the league. The Pirates bullpen has a combined ERA of 4.60, which is 27th in the MLB this season.

Pick Overview

The Pirates will look to grab another win in this set against Miami on the road. The Marlins have been the better team on the season, but have struggled to break through on this Pittsburgh team. Miami has the better pitching and hitting entering this one though. If the Marlins can come out fast, I think they can bounce back with the win.

Bovada has Miami listed as a -180 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Marlins will win this game around 64.3 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but has little value. Miami is also listed at -1 ½ for +125. I think the Marlins will come out quickly in this one as they look to earn the win.

The Bet
Miami Marlins -1.5
+125
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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