Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick – August 5

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action on Friday. Fourteen games are up on the board throughout August 5. One of these games will be between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Baltimore Orioles. These two teams have had opposite seasons so far, but will look for the win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:05 PM Eastern time.

Pittsburgh has earned a record of 43-62 throughout the season, which has them in third place of the NL Central. The Pirates have won three games in a row, but have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games. Pittsburgh is far out of a playoff spot entering this one. The Pirates will look to turn it around with a big win on Friday night.

The Orioles have put up a record of 54-51 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the AL East. Baltimore has won three games in a row and are 7-3 in their last 10 matchups. The Orioles are two games out of a wild card spot entering this game. Baltimore will look for another big win on the road in this one.

These two teams have opposite looks this season, but will look for the big win. The Pirates have won three games in a row and will look to carry that momentum into this set. Baltimore has also won three in a row, but have been hot for a few weeks now. If either team can come out quickly, it could be enough to lead them to the win. 

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Pittsburgh Pirates +1 ½ (-150) +134 Over 8 ½ (-120)
Baltimore Orioles -1 ½ (+130) -160 Under 8 ½ (+100)
Team Data Pittsburgh Pirates Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 43-62 54-51
Away/ Home Record 19-33 29-20
Batting Average .221 .235
Batting Average Away/ Home .217 .236
ERA 4.61 3.88
ERA Away/ Home 4.52 3.35

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • 3-0 in August games
  • 1-14 when playing on a Friday
  • 2-7 in inter-league play
  • 24-37 in night games
  • 27-39 against right handed starters
  • 15-25 after a win
  • 1-3 after three or more straight wins
  • 18-34 against team with a winning record

Baltimore Orioles

  • 3-0 in August
  • 8-8 when playing on Friday
  • 4-5 when playing with day off
  • 8-6 in inter-league games
  • 33-32 in night games
  • 30-35 against right handers
  • 27-27 after a win
  • 8-2 after three or more straight wins
  • 31-21 against team with a losing record

These two teams have not met up this season. The Pirates are coming off a three game sweep against the division leading Milwaukee Brewers. Baltimore swept the Texas Rangers in their last three game set. The Orioles had Thursday off and will look to use it to their advantage. Both teams will look for momentum to carry into this set.

Offense

The Pirates have struggled with the bats in their hands this season. Pittsburgh has a .221 batting average, which is 29th in the league. The Pirates have earned an OBP of .290, which is 28th in the MLB. Pittsburgh has posted a .655 OPS, which is also 28th in the league. The Pirates have a BA of .221 against righties this season.

Baltimore has not been much better hitting the ball on the season. The Orioles have a batting average of .235, which is 23rd in the MLB. Baltimore has put up a .304 on base percentage, which is also 23rd in the league. The Orioles have earned an OPS of .693, which is 20th in the MLB. Baltimore has hit .238 against right handers.

The Orioles have a slight edge at the plate and will look to step up in this one. Baltimore has been solid hitting the ball recently as they have climbed up the standings. The Pirates will look to step up again in this one as well. If either team can rack up some runs early, it could be enough to earn the win on Friday night.

Pitching Preview

Mitch Keller will likely get the nod at pitcher for Pittsburgh on Friday night. Keller has appeared in 20 games this season, going 3-7 in those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 4.37 and a 1.42 WHIP in those games. Keller’s last start was against the Philadelphia Phillies. He gave up five hits and one run in the no decision.

I expect Dean Kremer to get the start on the mound for the Orioles in this one. Kremer has earned a record of 3-3 throughout his 10 starts this season. He has posted a 3.86 ERA and a WHIP of 1.40 in those outings. Kremer pitched four and a third innings in his last start against the Cincinnati Reds. He gave up ten hits and six runs in the loss.

Kremer has lost his last two starts entering this one, while Keller has lost two of his last three decisions. Both pitchers will look to turn it around with a strong outing on Friday night. Baltimore has the edge in the bullpen in this one. The Orioles relievers have a 3.06 ERA, which is 4th in the league. The Pirates bullpen has a combined ERA of 4.44, which is 27th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

Both teams are coming into this matchup on three game winning streaks. The Orioles have been the better team this season and will look to continue to close the gap on a wild card spot. Baltimore has the better pitching and bats in this one. If the Orioles can come out fast at home, I think they will earn the win.

Bovada has Baltimore listed as a -160 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Orioles will win this game around 61.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but does not have a lot of value. Baltimore is also listed at -1 ½ for +130. I think the Orioles can dominate this game at home. I am taking the Orioles to cover the spread.

The Bet
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
+130
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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