Pirates vs. Reds MLB Pick – September 29th

The Cincinnati Reds will try and find at least one more win before their season comes to an end. The Reds are currently on a six-game losing streak after faltering yesterday by a score of 8-4. At least they got to 4 runs in that one, the first time they’ve scored 4 runs since September 20th against the Miami Marlins. There doesn’t seem to be much motivation in Cincinnati at the moment, but they will look to finish up the season strong over the next couple of days.

The Reds got off to a real nasty start, and now they’re hitting the skids in the final stretch of the season. In between there, the Reds played some decent baseball and won some games. It started when Joey Votto came out and said publicly that he was frustrated with how things were going in Cincinnati. That provided a spark, but for a 66-94 club, it clearly wasn’t enough.

The Reds enter Saturday with a record of 2-8 in their last ten games. If there is any team who is ready for vacation it has to be them. The Pirates have been playing average baseball recently, and it’s actually been an average season for them overall. The Pirates go into this contest with a record of 81-78. They acquired Chris Archer at the trade deadline to maybe give them a chance to get a wildcard, but it seemed unrealistic at that point.

If they got Archer for the upcoming seasons, then that would make more sense. I’ve never been high on him, so the move was bizarre to me. Jameson Taillon blossomed into quite the weapon for the Pirates in 2018. In his third season, he is going to set a career-high with his numbers. Taillon and Trevor Williams have combined to be two of the more underrated pitchers in the majors this year. Taillon will be called on for his final start of the season on Saturday. The Reds will counter with Michael Lorenzen, who has recently been bumped up to the starting rotation from the bullpen. Get our free Pirates vs. Reds pick below.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

Trevor Taillon (14-9, 3.16 ERA) vs. Michael Lorenzen (3-2, 3.35 ERA)

With nothing to lose for the Reds, and Lorenzen pitching well as a member of the bullpen, the Reds have given him a chance to start a few games. He looked good in his first start of the year on September 18th, holding the Brewers to just 1 run across 4 innings on the mound. However, the good feelings didn’t last long, as a bad Marlins team exploited him for 9 hits and 4 runs in 4 innings.

In 8 innings of work as a starter, Lorenzen has posted a 4.50 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, and .400 OBA. This will be his third start of the year and 45th appearance. He saw the bump 70 times last season, all out of the bullpen. Lorenzen was average with an ERA of 4.45. I highly doubt the Reds or any other team would be too confident installing Lorenzen in their rotation in 2019. Maybe the Rangers or Orioles who need all the help they can get.

He is likely going to have to be on top of his game against Taillon. Taillon has been laser sharp with an ERA of 1.29 and 0.90 WHIP in his previous three starts. That has been the case over his last seven starts, as he has produced an ERA of 1.60 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. If the Pirates can find some offensive playmakers in the offseason, they might have a team who could compete for a wildcard. There isn’t anything wrong with their pitching staff. The Pirates have won seven games in a row over the Reds. Look for them to make it an eighth on Saturday in Cincinnati.

The Bet: PIRATES (-140)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.