The Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves open a four-game series at Truist Park on Thursday night. The Braves are coming off a fun night against the Oakland Athletics. After a loss, 3-2 win on Tuesday, the bats came out with a huge effort in a 13-2 victory.
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) June 9, 2022
After Jared Koenig went 3 innings without allowing a run, looking like an impressive debut, Koenig unraveled with 5 hits and 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work. That had to be frustrating, as Koenig was moving quickly through the Braves before he ran into trouble.
Cole Irvin held the Braves in check in the first of two games, as the Braves got to him for 2 earned runs through 5.1 innings. They found the bases, but couldn’t captalize. That wasn’t the case last night.
Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies both had busy nights, as they tacked on 7 RBIs between the two. Ian Anderson allowed 2 earned runs in the top of the 4th, but was solid otherwise. With the win, the Braves are 30-27 and seven games behind the Mets.
The Mets are the one to beat in the division, but this is a long season, and this is the Mets. They’ve been good at blowing leads and fooling their fans in the past. Last season, the injuries were too much to overcome in the later stages of the campaign.
They have been without Jacob deGrom, and, more recently, Max Scherzer, but deGrom is getting closer to returning.
The defending World Series champs aren’t out of anything, though. They are going into tonight on a seven-game winning streak.
The Pirates are on the heels of back-to-back losses to the Detroit Tigers. Since an unlikely sweep against the Dodgers last week, the Pirates have won two of their previous five attempts.
J.T. Brubaker and Max Fried are scheduled to receive the starting jobs tonight. Neither has done anything out of character so far this season. Head below for our free Pirates vs. Braves prediction on June 9, 2022.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Live Betting Odds:
|Pittsburgh Pirates||+1.5 (+115)||+215||Over 8.5 (-120)|
|Atlanta Braves||-1.5 (-135)||-265||Under 8.5 (+100)|
|50% up to $1,000|
|50% up to $1,000|
|125% up to $2,500|
|100% up to $500|
|100% up to $1,000|
|100% up to $1,000|
|Team Data||Pittsburgh Pirates||Atlanta Braves|
|Batting Average Away/Home||.218||.249|
|Runs Per 9||3.57||4.60|
|Team ERA Away/Home||4.68||4.12|
Pirates vs. Braves Prediction:
The Pirates are sending J.T. Brubaker for his scheduled start this week. They are waiting patiently for Brubaker to turn a corner, but this might be what the Bucs will get with him.
In his first two seasons, Brubaker posted an ERA of 4.94 and a 5.36 through 11 appearances in 2022. He pitched 24 games for his first full season in the majors a season ago. Not much changed for Brubaker.
He finished with a 5.36 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 24 starts. That isn’t improvement. So, the Pirates are expecting much bigger things out of him in 2022.
It’s been the same for Brubaker, though. He carries an ERA of 4.70 and a 1.45 WHIP into Truist Park across 53.1 innings. That’s pretty well consistent with what he’s done in his first three years.
The Diamondbacks punished Brubaker for 8 hits and 5 earned runs in 4 innings. In a rare spot, the Bucs provided Brubaker with run support, but the damage was done in an 8-6 final.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:
- Record (Last 10): 6-4
- 3-11 overall in their previous 14 gmaes on a Thursday
- 3-10 overall in their previous 13 first game of a series
- 14-37 overall in their previous 51 games on the road versus a right-handed starter
- 1-9 overall in their previous ten games at Atlanta
- 3-8 overall in their previous 11 games versus the Braves
- Record (Last 10): 8-2
- 6-0 overall in their previous six games after a win
- 7-0 overall in their previous seven games versus a team with a losing record
- 13-3 overall in their previous 16 games as a betting favorite
- 4-1 overall in their previous five games at home
- 5-0 overall in their previous five games after scoring 5 or more runs
The Braves are seeing more positive signs out of Max Fried this season. The lefty had his best season in a full-time capacity last year. He finished with an ERA of 3.03 and a 1.09 WHIP in 28 games.
He notched an ERA of 2.25 and a 1.09 WHIP in the 2020 season. Fried is pitching in the same form again this year, as the 28-year-old owns a 2.74 ERA and 1.01 WHIP.
Fried had a couple of bumpy starts last month, but has settled in nicely. He has a 1.35 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his previous three attempts entering Thursday night.
The Braves have had success against Brubaker, with a team batting average of .352 with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs in 22 at-bats. Austin Riley is responsible for 2 home runs in 3 at-bats against Brubaker.
This looks like a multi-run win for the Braves. Expect them to win and cover the runline at Truist Park to open a four-game series.