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Rangers at Blue Jays Pick for April 30th

Texas Rangers -150 at Toronto Blue Jays +140 (Total: 9)

Yu Darvish (3-0, 2.42 ERA) vs. Kyle Drabek (2-1, 2.25 ERA)

Yu Darvish, according to teammate Derek Holland can hit 85 to 88 mph on the radar gun throwing with his left arm.  He’s right handed.  The legend continues; two assistant coaches are on record saying Darvish will long toss to warm up at 250 feet, also throwing with his left arm.

What do either of these fun facts have to do with tonight’s game?  Not a darn thing.  But I just felt it wouldn’t be right not to share either of those bizarre fun facts with you, my friends, and wonderful readers… You’re welcome.

Ok, all kidding aside, those facts are amazing (albeit irrelevant).  Here’s a few more that are amazing and actually pertain to finding a winning wagering edge.  After a rocky opening start in his first appearance in the States, Darvish has definitely found his stride.  In his last three starts he has allowed just two earned runs in 21 innings (good for a 0.83 ERA), and has racked up 19 strikeouts, including ten punch-outs against two walks in his last start.  He allegedly throws ten different pitches, but regardless of what the catcher is calling for, everything has been working lately.  The Jays will have their work cut out for them tonight.

However, they will be countering with a young potential ace of their own.  The Jays got beat up a bit when they let Roy Halliday get away, but now, while Halliday is 36 years old, Drabek is just 24 and beginning to blossom.  The Jays have been very protective of his pitch count, which is the main reason he has only pitched into the 7th inning once in four starts, but his 2.25 ERA is legit.  The biggest problem Drabek encounters is occasional bouts with his control.  His 13 walks (including six in his start against KC) lead to his inflated 1.33 WHIP, however, as his low ERA indicates, he has been able to pitch himself out of trouble so far this season.

As of the time of writing this article, Josh Hamilton is listed as “day-to-day” after leaving with stiffness in the Tampa Bay ESPN Sunday Night game.  I wouldn’t be surprised if he sits this one out as a precaution.  When you have a +59 run differential after 21 games and are sitting at 16-5 with a 7 game lead, why mess around with your MVP??

Even if Hamilton is dressed and playing, I LOVE the under tonight.  I expect Darvish to be filthy and unhittable, and for Drabek and the Jay pen to be able to hold to Texas to four or five runs.  That should keep the total fairly safely under the nine run threshold.

Free Pick:  Run TOTAL UNDER 9