Rangers vs. Mariners MLB Pick – May 29th

After getting silenced on Monday, the bats came through in a big way against the Mariners last night. They held down by Tommy Milone of all pitchers to nail Marco Gonzales in the next game. The Mariners held the Rangers to 2 runs in a 6-2 win with Milone dealing, but the mood changed with Gonzales getting hammered for 8 hits and 6 runs in 4 innings. The Rangers slipped to 2nd in the majors offensively behind the Twins, though they certainly looked like a top-notch offense on Tuesday in Seattle.

The Rangers rode a big 5th inning, as they put up 7 runs on the Mariners. Ronald Guzman led the Rangers with a 3-run home run to lead the night with 3 RBI’s. Hunter Pence also had another good night with 2 RBI’s. He is on pace to win the Comeback Player of the Year with a strong couple of months to begin the season.

The Rangers have to be happy because they suddenly get a solid trade chip that they can put on the table at the trade deadline. I don’t think they had that in mind when they initially acquired the 36-year-old, but the move has been a nice payoff for them thus far. If he completely tanks in the second-half, though, his value will go down in the toilet with his numbers. The Rangers have been hot at the plate in part because of Pence’s effort.

Seattle dropped their seventh game in eight outings last night. They were able to snap a six-game losing streak Monday, though got straight back to their losing ways. This is a team that started out this season with a record of 13-2. They’ve since dropped off the map at 24-33. The Mariners have done a nice job of putting up a mirage in the past and then tank. In 2019 they’re just doing it way earlier than usual. Head below for our free Rangers vs. Mariners pick.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mariners -128/Rangers +108
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Drew Smyly (1-3, 6.15 ERA)
  • Wade LeBlanc (2-2, 7.33 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Drew Smyly’s career never quite panned out how he wanted it to, but he still has to feel fortunate to be in a major league rotation currently. Smyly previously hadn’t thrown a pitch since 2016 in the major leagues before this season. He’s made seven starts this season and things haven’t exactly been great for him in his return to the bump.

With an ERA of 6.15 and opposing hitters posting an OBP of .365, it hasn’t been a career saving season for Smyly. Considering how bad some rotations have been, he is likely going to have a spot ready for him next season as well. Pitchers might be complaining about juiced balls this season, but keeping guys off the bases has been an issue as well. They can’t blame that on juiced baseballs.

Smyly has been erratic on the road, as he attempts to get his 7.07 ERA on the road under control against the Mariners. He also has a 1.86 WHIP and .386 OBA as a visitor in 2019. Smyly has been much better than his opponent on Wednesday, though. Wade LeBlanc has been all kind of terrible and might find himself down in the minors if he doesn’t do something about it soon.

LeBlanc has posted an ERA of 7.33 and 1.76 WHIP on the year. He has somehow been much worse at home in Seattle than he has on the road. LeBlanc has a 4.91 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the road as opposed to a 9.49 ERA and 2.27 WHIP at T-Mobile Park. The 11-year veteran has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 7.1 innings pitched.

I expect at least Smyly or LeBlanc to have a rough go of it on Wednesday in Seattle. The bullpens are 25th and 26th in the majors, so don’t expect much relief from them, either. Consider selecting the OVER in Seattle in the series finale between the Rangers and Mariners.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.