Rangers vs. Mariners MLB Pick – September 30th

With the National League pennant race in full swing, and today being NFL Sunday, the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners aren’t exactly going to be the biggest draw. Maybe for baseball fans in Seattle, but even then, most people are going to be watching the Seahawks and Cardinals. Nevertheless, it’s always sad to say goodbye to baseball in September. It means that the fall season is here and winter is not far away. However, October always provides plenty of excitement with all major sports almost all underway.

The NHL regular season schedule begins on Wednesday, and the NBA will begin on October 16th. I always remember the NBA schedule starting a couple of weeks later than that, so I’m not going to complain about that. No, I will not be covering basketball here on the blog. I am probably the most spot bettor of all time when it comes to college basketball and the NBA. My card usually consists of three of four plays in a month.

In any event, back to Seattle where the Rangers and Mariners will do battle. The Mariners are looking at taking three of four against the Rangers following a 4-1 victory on Saturday. It was a bad day for the Mariners on Thursday, which resulted in a 2-0 loss, but they’ve responded nicely. The offense pounded Martin Perez for a 12-6 win on Friday night.

That’s the pitching we’ve come to be familiar with in Arlington this season. They will finish this season with the second worst starting rotation in baseball. Yovani Gallardo has played a role in helping the Rangers maintain their awful ranking. He will conclude his eleventh season in the majors leagues this afternoon in Seattle. If he’s pitching next year in the rotation, here or elsewhere, that likely means the rotation isn’t in good shape. Roenis Elias, who will be making just his fourth start of the year, will get the nod for the Mariners. Head below for our free Rangers vs. Mariners pick.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Yovani Gallardo (8-7, 5.75 ERA) vs. Roenis Elias (2-1, 2.93 ERA)

It’s been a struggle for the entire rotation and Gallardo has been no exception in 2018. Before the Rangers start thinking about the postseason, they have to fix their pitching staff. Gallardo is listed as number 2 in the rotation and his ERA is well above 5.00. Mike Minor is the leader of the rotation with an ERA of 4.18. You are not winning many games like that, no matter who is on offense in the lineup.

Gallardo enters his last start of the year with a poor ERA of 5.75 and 7.42 ERA and .403 OBA in his previous three outings. The road hasn’t been kind to him, as he enters Sunday with an ERA of 6.75 and 1.63 WHIP. He was fortunate to get a 11-7 win the last time he faced the Mariners. Gallardo hasn’t had much success during any stretch in 2018. He has a 6.42 ERA 1.66 WHIP in his last seven starts, so it’s difficult to find a period where he’s really been locked in and pitching well.

Reliever Roenis Elias will get his fourth and final crack as a starter this season. He’s made 22 appearances, three of them as a starter and the rest in the bullpen. At first look, an ERA of 2.93 is pretty good for the lefty. However, the vast majority of his success has come out of the bullpen.

There is a reason the Mariners haven’t used him as a day-to-day starter this season. In his three starts, Elias has posted an ERA of 6.10, 1.84 WHIP, and .380 OBA. He has a recent relief appearance against the Rangers and was fortunate to get out of 2.1 innings with just 1 run allowed. Elias allowed 4 hits and a walk through 2.1 innings of work in an 8-3 loss for the Mariners. In my final selection of the 2018 MLB season, I will make a modest play on the OVER in Seattle.

The Bet: OVER 8.5 (-120)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.