Texas Rangers vs New York Mets MLB Pick – July 3

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action throughout July 3. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these games will be between the Texas Rangers and the New York Mets. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will start at around 1:40 PM Eastern time.

Texas has earned a record of 37-39 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the AL West. The Rangers are coming off a win in their last game and are 6-4 throughout their last 10 games. Texas is four games back on a wild card spot entering this one. The Rangers will look for a quick start in this matchup on the road.

The Mets have put up a record of 48-30 so far on the season, which has them in the top spot of the NL East. New York is coming off a loss in their last game and have lost four of their last five. The Mets have a two and a half game lead on the top spot in the division. New York will look to step up early at home as they look to get back on track.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and are in the middle of the playoff race. The Rangers have been a bit better as of late and are looking to grab a wild card spot. New York is hanging onto the top spot and have the Braves right on their tails as they have struggled. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Texas Rangers +1 ½ (-165) +122 Over 8 ½ (+100)
New York Mets -1 ½ (+140) -140 Under 8 ½ (-120)
Team Data Texas Rangers New York Mets
Overall Record 37-39 48-30
Away/ Home Record 20-19 25-13
Batting Average .238 .256
Batting Average Away/ Home .243 .256
ERA 3.90 3.93
ERA Away/ Home 3.94 3.50

Betting Trends

Texas Rangers

  • 1-1 in July games
  • 5-8 when playing on Sunday
  • 8-6 in inter-league play
  • 11-17 in day games
  • 22-28 against right handers
  • 18-17 after a win
  • 15-15 against team with a winning record

New York Mets

  • 1-1 in July
  • 8-5 when playing on a Sunday
  • 4-8 in an inter-league game
  • 18-13 in day games
  • 32-17 against right handed starters
  • 21-8 after a loss
  • 27-15 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up twice throughout this season. Eduardo Escobar had a three run homer in the first matchup on Friday as the Mets earned a 4-3 win at home. Kole Calhoun had two homers and four RBI’s in Saturday’s game. Johan Heim and Leody Taveras both had solo shots as well. Texas earned a 7-3 win on the road to tie up the season series.

Offense

The Rangers have been solid hitting the ball throughout this season. Texas has a .238 batting average, which is 20th in the league. The Rangers have posted an on base percentage of .297, which is 25th in the MLB. Texas has earned a .694 OPS, which is 19th in the league. The Rangers have a BA of .236 against righties this season.

New York has been strong at the plate throughout this season. The Mets have a batting average of .256, which is 4th in the MLB. New York has earned a .327 OBP, which is 2nd in the league. The Mets have put up an OPS of .725, which is 13th in the MLB this season. New York has hit .261 against right handers.

These two teams have been solid hitting the ball throughout this season and will look to keep their bats going early in this one. The Mets have had the edge entering this one, but have been outscored through the first two games of this set. If either team can hit well early in this one, it could be enough for the win on Sunday.

Pitching Preview

I expect Jon Gray to get the start at pitcher for the Rangers in this one. Gray has started in 13 games this season, going 4-3 in those matchups. He has posted a 3.89 ERA and a WHIP of 1.158 in those outings. Gray’s last start was against the Kansas City Royals. He gave up five hits and one run through seven innings en route to the win.

Carlos Carrasco will likely get the nod on the mound for New York on Sunday afternoon. Carrasco has earned a record of 8-4 throughout his 15 starts on the season. He has put up an ERA of 4.85 and a 1.335 WHIP in those outings. Carrasco pitched four and a third innings in his last start against the Houston Astros. He gave up six hits and six runs in the losing effort.

Gray has won three straight starts entering this one, while Carrasco has lost three of his last four starts. Both pitchers will look to step up early in this one. Texas has a slight edge in the bullpen entering this one. The Rangers relievers have a 3.33 ERA, which is 7th in the league. The Mets bullpen has a combined ERA of 3.66, which is 13th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look to keep it going early in this one. The Rangers are coming off a strong win against New York, but the Mets will look to get back on track at home. If New York’s pitching and bats can get going quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win on Sunday.

Bovada has New York listed as a -140 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Mets will win this game around 58.3 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with New York at home. The Mets have struggled as of late, but I expect them to get back on track. As slight favorites, I like the value on New York on Sunday afternoon.

The Bet
New York Mets
-140
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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