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Rangers vs. Yankees Pick MLB – May 24th

It wasn’t a real good day for C.C. Sabathia and the Yankees yesterday. You don’t see 15 runs cross the plate for a single team too often in MLB, and suffice it to say it didn’t do much to help the stats of the active pitching leader in wins – nor will it do too much to quiet the “CC might be done” noise that is continuing to swell. The loss dropped the Yanks to just a single game over .500 and was their fifth in a row and their ninth in their last ten games. They had a nice early-season run, but keep this is an old, injury-prone roster and a pitching rotations full of question marks prior to the season. Most people had them picked no better than third of fourth in the East (I had them fifth). It will be interesting to see if this is just part of the ebb and flow of a long season or if this is the start of the regression to mediocrity that this roster looked like it was headed for back in Spring Training…

Meanwhile, we took a loss yesterday with the Twins doing just enough against Chris Sale to edge the Sox 4-3 and get to six games over .500. This is a team with similar preseason expectations to the Yankees, only MORE negative. EVERYONE had them fifth, and how could you not? Detroit and Kansas City are legit. Everyone loved Cleveland and the White Sox looked like a team that could make a leap with Samardzija joining Sale to bolster the staff pitching behind a talented young lineup. Minnesota is another team I have my eye on for a soon regression to the mean – it’ll be worth watching, as they are playing a little over their skis in a brutal division.

Let’s wrap this rough week overall with a winner.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Texas Rangers +123 at New York Yankees -133 (Total: 8)

Yovani Gallardo (3-6, 4.26 ERA) vs. Chris Capuano (0-1, 12.00 ERA)

Do the Rangers have anything left in their bats after yesterday’s offensive explosion? They just might getting to face Chris Capuano who was pulled into the Yankees rotation after it was beset with injuries and was anything but harp in his first outing, three run-riddled innings. They are going to need far more than three innings tonight after yesterday’s all-hands-on-deck bullpen effort.

The Rangers counter with former Brewers star Yovani Gallardo, who has had a rough adjustment to the American League. His last three starts have been right on par with his season, allowing an ERA of 4.76 with a WHIP of 1.38. His biggest problem though has been a lack of run support as the Rangers are getting just 2.7 runs in games he starts. That problem could very well be lessened tonight with a favorable pitching matchup and a tired pen.

The Rangers are hitting .261 against southpaws and scoring just under five runs per nine innings. I like them to get Gallardo a few runs early and pad a lead. However, I think the best value today is in the over eight. I like offenses to fare well tonight for the aforementioned pitching situations.

Enjoy some Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN and plenty of runs.

Free Pick: Run TOTAL OVER 8