Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick – July 27

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball action on July 27. Fourteen games are up on the board throughout Wednesday. One of these games will be between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles. These two teams have been solid this season and will look to step up in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:05 PM Eastern time.

Tampa Bay has earned a record of 52-45 throughout the season, which has them in third place of the AL East. The Rays have lost four games in a row, but are 5-5 in their last 10 games. Tampa Bay is thirteen and a half games back on the division, but are in a wild card spot. The Rays will look to step up on the road in this one.

The Orioles have put up a record of 49-48 so far on the season, which has them in fourth place of the AL East. Baltimore has won two games in a row and are 6-4 throughout their last 10 matchups. The Orioles are three games back on a wild card spot entering this one. Baltimore will look to earn a big win on Wednesday afternoon.

These two teams have been solid this season and will look to get a big win in this matchup. The Rays have struggled as of late, but will look to get back on track with a big win. Baltimore will look to remain hot as they eye a playoff spot. If either team can get some runs early, it could be enough to lead them to the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Tampa Bay Rays -1 ½ (+145) -120 Over 8 (-115)
Baltimore Orioles +1 ½ (-170) +100 Under 8 (-105)
Team Data Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 52-45 49-48
Away/ Home Record 21-27 28-19
Batting Average .240 .234
Batting Average Away/ Home .243 .237
ERA 3.43 3.94
ERA Away/ Home 3.79 3.40

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Rays

  • 12-10 in July
  • 10-4 when playing on Wednesday
  • 23-19 against divisional opponents
  • 31-28 in night games
  • 41-32 against right handed starters
  • 23-22 after a loss
  • 6-4 after three or more straight losses
  • 27-23 against team with a winning record

Baltimore Orioles

  • 14-6 in July games
  • 6-7 when playing on a Wednesday
  • 19-23 against division rivals
  • 30-30 in night games
  • 28-33 against right handers
  • 24-25 after a win
  • 22-24 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up fourteen times on the season. The first three games were swept by the Rays at home. Baltimore won two of the next three in their own home ballpark. The Orioles won two of the next three, before Tampa Bay did the same in the next set. Baltimore has won the first two games of this series. The Rays have outscored the Orioles 61-54 this season.


The Rays have been solid hitting the ball on the season. Tampa Bay has a batting average of .240, which is 17th in the league. The Rays have earned a .307 OBP, which is 22nd in the MLB. Tampa Bay has put up an OPS of .689, which is 23rd in the league. The Rays have hit .236 against right handers this season.

Baltimore has been solid at the plate as well this season. The Orioles have a .234 batting average, which is 24th in the MLB. Baltimore has posted an on base percentage of .302, which is 24th in the league. The Orioles have earned a .690 OPS, which is 21st in the MLB. Baltimore has a BA of .235 against righties.

These two teams have been solid hitting the ball this season and will look to step up early. The Orioles have earned 13 hits and 10 runs throughout the series. Tampa Bay has posted 20 hits and 4 runs in this set. The Rays will look to hit better with runners on base. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Drew Rasmussen will likely get the start on the mound for Tampa Bay in this one. Rasmussen has started in 16 games this season, going 6-3 in those outings. He has posted a 3.13 ERA and a WHIP of 1.18 in those matchups. Rasmussen’s last start was against the Kansas City Royals. He gave up seven hits and one run in the win.

I expect Tyler Wells to get the nod at pitcher for the Orioles on Wednesday night. Wells has earned a record of 7-6 throughout his 19 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.69 and a 1.10 WHIP in those games. Wells pitched five innings in his last start against the New York Yankees. He gave up five hits and five runs in the loss.

These two pitchers have been strong this season and will look for a big win. Wells has lost his last two starts and will look to bounce back. Rasmussen will look to build on his last win entering Wednesday. The Orioles have the slight edge in the bullpen. Tampa Bay’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.49, which is 8th in the league. Baltimore’s bullpen has a 3.06 ERA, which is 3rd in the MLB.

Pick Overview

Tampa Bay has struggled a bit as of late and has lost their last two games in this set. The Rays will look to step up early in this matchup on the road. Tampa Bay has the better bats in this one and will look for their pitching to step up early. If the Rays can get an early lead, I like their chances to earn the win on Wednesday night.

Bovada has Tampa Bay listed as a -120 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Rays will win this game around 54.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with Tampa Bay trying to get back on track. The Orioles have been solid in this set, but I think they are due for a loss. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Rays.

The Bet
Tampa Bay Rays
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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