Rays vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – July 30th

The Boston Red Sox play host to the Tampa Bay Rays for a three-game series before heading over to the Bronx. Tampa are sandwiched between back-to-back weekends against the Yankees for the Red Sox. Boston had an impressive showing in round 1, but were unable to pull off the sweep Sunday. Domingo German and the Yankees got one of three, as they nabbed a 9-6 win on Sunday Night Baseball.

The 3-1 series for the Red Sox puts a small dent in the Yankees, though nothing substantial and isn’t going to make the Yanks sweat a bit. The Yankees are on an 8.5-game lead on the Rays and 9 on the Red Sox. Boston have a 1-game deficit for the final wildcard.

This is a big game in the wildcard race, which includes the Red Sox and Rays. The Athletics and Indians are currently in possession of the two wildcards, while Tampa and Boston are within a game. There isn’t much room to breathe, and every series these four play one another it’s doubly important.

Even though they are behind, the Red Sox did themselves some favors over the weekend against the Yankees. After what people saw in three games, they are going to be a popular pick to get into the postseason. It wouldn’t be too much of a surprise if they turn it on in the final two months of the regular season.

The Rays were in Toronto for three days, which turned into a couple of wild games. Toronto erased an 8-1 on Saturday and then the Rays returned the favor with a comeback the following day. Both resulted in 10-9 finals, with the Rays storming back for the win Sunday. The Rays don’t get any rest, as they turn their attention to the Red Sox. They’ll send out Charlie Morton for the start at Fenway, while the Red Sox will counter with David Price. Head below for our free Rays vs. Red Sox pick.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -133/Rays +113
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Charlie Morton (12-3, 2.60 ERA)
  • David Price (7-4, 3.66 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Charlie Morton has made the front office look pretty good with their move to acquire him in the offseason. Along with Morton, they got rid of Chris Archer’s contract and turned that into Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows, which is something else to be happy about.

Morton was picked up after the Astros didn’t want to pay his contract demands. Wade Miley has been able to fill in nicely there at a cheaper price, so the Astros dodged a bullet. And for the Rays, it worked out well for them because he’s been strong with an ERA of 2.60 and 12-3 record.

Morton has tailed off slightly recently, with a 4.34 ERA in his previous three starts. However, Morton is coming off a nice performance against the Red Sox just last week. He allowed 5 hits and 2 earned runs in a 3-2 win in Florida.

The Red Sox have been fairly decent against Morton in the past, though, as they’ve scored 18 runs on him in 146 at-bats. Conversely, the Rays have scored 24 runs on David Price in 262 at-bats. That’s a lot more appearances at the plate for just 6 more runs. The Rays are also hitting .229 against Price in that span.

David Price had had a topsy-turvy season. He’s seen just about every emotion a pitcher can feel in 2019. Generally, most of the time, Price has pitched like he should be pitching, though. He enters Tuesday with an ERA of 3.66 and 1.19 WHIP. He’s been off recently, but is going to be back at Fenway for his first outing at home since July 14th against the Dodgers.

Price gave up just a run in that one. He’s been a much better hurler at home, where he’s posted an ERA of 2.89 and 1.12 WHIP as opposed to a 4.13 ERA on the road. Expect this to be a good, watchable game between two wildcard contenders in the American League. Ultimately, look for the Red Sox to edge out the Rays in a 5-3 or 6-4 game on Tuesday night.

The Bet
RED SOX
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.