Rays vs. Yankees MLB Pick – July 17th

It’s been a couple of tough days for the New York Yankees at home against the Rays. They watched on Monday as a 4-2 lead evaporated with one swing of the bat. With Chapman on the bump and 2 outs, everything looked like it was lining up for a win. Travis d’Arnaud had other ideas, as he sent fans home frustrated with his third home run of the night.

His third was the kill shot, sending a 3-run bomb over the short fence in right field. The Yankees returned the favor with a 6-run 8th inning. It was highlighted by a Didi Gregorius grand slam to bust the game open with an 8-3 lead. That’s how you respond after suffering a hard beat on Monday night. I felt how hard of a beat it was because I was on the Yankees in that contest.

The Rays were threatening to pull within 4 games in the AL East. That’s a big two-game swing. With the lead that the Yankees have built up, they can afford to blow a game and still be in an ideal situation. It’s teams that don’t follow up losses like that with success. Bad teams allow hard beats to snowball out of control as they watch the losses pile up. The Yankees got the bad taste out of their mouths rather quickly.

Gregorius, who has been lacking power since returning from the IL, broke out with a bases clearing grand slam. Perhaps that gets going, which is bad news for the rest of the American League. The Yanks are in a tight battle with the Astros and Twins for the top seed in the conference. Domingo German will try to improve the Yankees’ cause with a solid performance on Wednesday. He’s been strong since making his return on July 3rd. Yonny Chirinos will get the nod for the Rays. Head below for our free Rays vs. Yankees pick.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. N.Y. Yankees Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -155/Rays +135
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Yonny Chirinos (8-4, 3.11 ERA)
  • Domingo Green (11-2, 3.40 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Domingo German missed about a month, but didn’t miss a beat when he got back into the lineup. He pitched 6 innings against the Mets and allowed just 1-run and 5 hits. German outdid himself in his next outing, as he didn’t give up a run and just 3 hits in 6 innings against the Blue Jays. German spent an average of only 13 pitches per inning on the mound. The Yankees pulled him after around 80 pitches, but they’ll slowly up his workload as he shows more signs of getting back into shape. In his last three outings, he posted an ERA of 2.50 and 0.83 WHIP.

German has been on fire at Yankee Stadium this season, with a record of 5-1 and 1.98 ERA in 36.1 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in any start at home in 2019. The Yanks are going to need German pitching at full strength. If they have German pitching well, and then get Luis Severino back pitching strong, it’s almost like the Yankees made a trade.

The best solution to improve their starting rotation might be on their roster already. If his first two starts after getting healthy are any indication, the Yanks are going to have a sleeping giant in their rotation that most people have ignored.

The Yankees’ offense woke up in a big way on the bat of Gregorius last night. If Gregorius gets his power stroke back, he’s another dangerous weapon opposing pitchers are going to have to dance around. Chirinos is likely going to provide a decent challenge for the Yankees on Wednesday. He’s been a consistent option for the Rays this season

However, he took an 8-4 loss in his previous outing against this team. Chirinos lasted a solid 7 innings, allowing 3 runs and 5 hits with 101 pitches. I expect a fairly similar game from the Yankee offense against Chirinos in this one. Don’t expect to see him getting hammered. My concern for the Rays in this game is their offense against German, who is locked in right now. Despite the win Monday, the Rays are only 8-23 in their previous 31 games at Yankee Stadium. And they were down to their last strike in that one. I like the Yankees in a 5-3 or 6-4 game Wednesday in the Bronx.

The Bet
YANKEES
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.