Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB Pick – July 2nd

The Toronto Blue Jays put on a show on Canada Day against the Kansas City Royals yesterday. They won a no doubter, as they got started early with 8 runs in the first three innings. That put the game out of reach and buried the Royals. They’d try and fight back, but ultimately had to accept a 11-4 loss. The win doesn’t mean much for the Blue Jays, though it was nice to pick up a win on Canada Day in front of the home crowd.

Don’t expect too many wins like that by the Blue Jays this season. They face a tough task against the Boston Red Sox for the next three days. It’s 1-dollar hot dog day at Rogers Centre. That and the Red Sox in town might be the biggest selling point to get people to come out to watch the Blue Jays play.

The Jays were victorious in three of four against the Royals. That has them 23.5 games behind the Yankees with a record of 32-53. Obviously, the season is in the tank, but they still own a better record than the Orioles, who are 31 games out of 1st in the AL East.

The Red Sox are the defending champs, but that feels like so long ago. The Yankees have taken over as the kings of the division. That doesn’t necessarily guarantee postseason success, though. We’ve seen the Yanks choke before. The Red Sox are currently 11 games behind the Yankees for 1st, so they have some work to do.

With a wildcard within reach, they wouldn’t provide an easy out in a play-in game for any team, though. Boston are still two games behind and need a solid second-half. The gloves have to come off. David Price will get the nod for the Sox tonight, while Trent Thornton will get the go for the Blue Jays. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Blue Jays pick.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -162/Blue Jays +141
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • David Price (5-2, 3.36 ERA)
  • Trent Thornton (2-5, 4.60 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

David Price is coming off a couple of effective starts against the White Sox and Twins. He allowed just 3 earned runs in 11 innings to respond after a train wreck vs the Rangers. The Rangers wasted little time against Price, as they knocked him around for 6 runs in 1.1 innings. Outside of that one outlier, Price has been feeling it and pitching well. Note that he has allowed 2 or less runs in eight of his previous nine outings.

The road has been too detrimental to him, as he holds an ERA of 3.60 and 1.15 WHIP in 40 innings of work. He’s also been solid against the Jays, holding them to a .219 and .242 OBA in 96 at-bats. The most effective Blue Jay against Price will be unavailable here. Devon Travis is hitting .368 against Price in 19 at-bats. He is also responsible for a home run. Travis is still working himself back into action and just resumed some light work. In Price’s last start against the Jays, he was on top of his game, allowing just 3 hits and no earned runs in a 12-2 win at Rogers Centre in May.

The Red Sox have seen Trent Thornton in just 26 at-bats, but have been solid enough with a .308 BA and .321 OBA. He took a 7-5 loss against the Red Sox in Boston a couple of starts ago. Thornton is coming off a poor performance against the Yankees, as he got ripped for 7 hits and 5 earned runs in 3.1 innings of play.

He has been less than competent at home with a 6.39 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 31 innings. Thornton has yet to record a win in Toronto for his career. He’s only a rookie, so he will have a lot of time to get that, though. I don’t see it coming tonight against the Red Sox. Expect a letdown from the Blue Jays on Tuesday after playing well against the Royals. Consider a play on the Red Sox moneyline in Toronto this evening.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.