Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Pick – MLB June 30th

The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays clash again tonight at the Rogers Center in downtown Toronto. The Red Sox, behind a stingy performance from Clay Buchholz, defeated the Jays by a score of 3-1. Buchholz has had a resurgence of sorts lately, and has been showing some of the stuff we seen when he pitched a 1.74 ERA in 2013. I took advantage of the strong play of Buchholz a couple weeks week and I see him as a pitcher trending up. We’ll see if he can complete a big turnaround after completing the 2014 season with a high ERA of 5.34. The Blue Jays may find it easier tonight against the kind of pitcher that they’ve feasted off of in 2015. I am referring to the clip the Blue Jays have been mashing the ball against lefties at. Left-handers have feared this Jays lineup, as they have had no problem taking them to the toolshed this season. The Red Sox hope that lefty Eduardo Rodriguez will be able to buck that trend against Toronto tonight.

The Houston Astros left no doubt in our minds what the result of last night’s game was going to be early. The ‘Stros jumped out to a 3-0 lead, which grew to 6-0 and finally a 6-1 win. Life has been easy on us lately, as we navigate through a four run winning streak thanks to another one last night. Joe Blanton got chased out of the game by the 3rd inning. He was never on point, and the Astros were able to take advantage of it. I told you guys that it was time for Blanton to hit a wall, and did he ever hit it hard against the Astros. We head up north for our pick tonight, as the Blue Jays look to respond after Buchholz silenced the bats on Monday night.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Eduardo Rodriguez (3-2, 4.33 ERA) vs. Marco Estrada (5-3, 3.45 ERA)

The Blue Jays weren’t a team that Eduardo Rodriguez had to be happy to see on the schedule with his name on it. Rodriguez has been getting hammered lately and now he needs to go up against one of the best teams in all of baseball hitting left-handed pitching. In his last three starts, Rodriguez posted a 9.82 ERA, including a 1.70 WHIP and .382 OBP. In two of those three starts he got taken for 6 runs and in the other a total of 9 runs. On the season, the Jays are hitting .305 against lefties. Additionally, in their last five games they’ve hit them at a clip of .400. The Blue Jays will have a grand opportunity tonight to get the offense back in gear after stuttering just a bit in their past few times on the diamond.

The Red Sox have also performed much better against the arm pitching opposite them tonight. They are hitting .260 against righties compared to .225 against lefties. Marco Estrada has been pitching brilliantly in his last two starts, even flirting with a perfect game in his last outing against the Rays. What scares me with Estrada tonight is the amount of work he’s been putting in. Two starts ago he finished with 117 pitches. He then followed it up with a 129 pitch performance in his last outing. Those kind of games will catch up to you eventually. The Red Sox could be that team. Note that Estrada has a 4.58 ERA against the Red Sox in his career. Look for balls to flying around Rogers Center tonight in Toronto. I’m going to take a piece of the OVER 9.

PICK: OVER 9 RUNS (-110)