Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs MLB Pick – July 2

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action throughout July 2. Seventeen games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Boston Red Sox and the Chicago Cubs. These two teams have been solid on the season and will look for the win in this one. This game will start at around 7:15 PM Eastern time on FOX.

Boston has earned a record of 43-34 throughout this season, which has them sitting in third place of the AL East. The Red Sox are coming off a loss in their last game, but have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games. Boston is one game back on the second seed in this one. The Red Sox will look for a big win on the road in this one.

The Cubs have put up a record of 31-46 so far on the season, which has them in the third spot of the NL Central. Chicago has won three games in a row and are 6-4 in their last 10 matchups. The Cubs are eleven games back on the wild card spot entering this matchup. Chicago will look to carry their momentum into Saturday.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Red Sox will look to bounce back after a loss on Friday night. Chicago has been hot as of late and will look to start strong again in this one. If either team can come out quickly, it could be enough for the win on Saturday.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Boston Red Sox -1 ½ (+100) -145 Over 9 ½ (+100)
Chicago Cubs +1 ½ (-120) +122 Under 9 ½ (-120)
Team Data Boston Red Sox Chicago Cubs
Overall Record 43-34 31-46
Away/ Home Record 23-18 16-26
Batting Average .262 .250
Batting Average Away/ Home .257 .257
ERA 3.67 4.84
ERA Away/ Home 3.45 4.62

Betting Trends

Boston Red Sox

  • 0-1 in July games
  • 6-7 when playing on a Saturday
  • 4-4 in an inter-league game
  • 30-20 in night games
  • 30-30 against right handers
  • 20-13 after a loss
  • 27-17 against team with a losing record

Chicago Cubs

  • 1-0 in July
  • 6-8 when playing on Saturday
  • 3-9 in inter-league play
  • 17-31 in night games
  • 22-34 against right handed starters
  • 12-17 after a win
  • 16-23 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up once this season on July 1 in Chicago. Jackie Bradley Jr. had three RBI’s, while Jarren Duran had a home run. It was not enough for the Red Sox though. Christopher Morel had three RBI’s with a homer in this game. The Cubs were able to hold on late to earn a 6-5 win at home in this matchup.

Offense

The Red Sox have been strong at the plate throughout this season. Boston has a .262 batting average, which is 1st in the MLB. The Red Sox have earned an OBP of .326, which is 5th in the league. Boston has put up a .744 OPS, which is also 5th in the MLB. The Red Sox also have a BA of .260 against right handers.

Chicago has been solid hitting the ball so far this season. The Cubs have a batting average of .250, which is 10th in the league. Chicago has posted a .327 on base percentage, which is 2nd in the MLB. The Cubs have earned an OPS of .729, which is 10th in the league. Chicago has hit .249 against righties this season.

Boston has the edge at the plate entering this one, but the Cubs have been solid hitting the ball as well on the season. The Red Sox earned 11 hits in Friday’s loss, but could only score 5. Chicago capitalized on their six hits with six runs on Friday. If either team can step up early at the plate, it could lead their team to the win.

Pitching Preview

Josh Winckowski will get the start on the mound for Boston in this one. Winckowski has earned a record of 3-1 throughout his 4 starts on the season. He has posted a 3.60 ERA and a WHIP of 1.450 in those games. Winckowski pitched five and a third innings in his last start against the Cleveland Guardians. He gave up six hits and two runs en route to his third straight win.

I expect Alec Mills to get the nod at pitcher for the Cubs on Saturday night. Mills has appeared in 6 games this season, going 0-1 in those starts. He has put up an ERA of 9.87 and a 1.731 WHIP in those outings. Mills pitched two and two thirds innings in his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He gave up six hits and five runs in the no decision.

These two pitchers have had opposite seasons so far. Winckowski has been hot, winning three of his four starts, while Mills has struggled to get much going on the mound. Boston has the edge in the bullpen as well. The Red Sox relievers have a combined ERA of 3.79, which is 14th in the league. Chicago’s bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, which is 28th in the MLB. 

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Chicago was able to earn the win on Friday, but I expect the Red Sox to come out fast in this one. Boston should be able to get their bats going early against a struggling Mills. If Winckowski can give the Red Sox another solid performance, I think they will run away with this one.

Bovada has Boston listed as a -145 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Red Sox will win this game around 59.2 percent of the time. I think that this line should be even bigger with the difference on the mound. Boston has been much better this season and will look to bounce back after their loss on Friday. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Red Sox.

The Bet
Boston Red Sox
-145
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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