Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs MLB Pick – July 3

The MLB is set up with another great slate of action throughout July 3. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these games will be between the Boston Red Sox and the Chicago Cubs. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for a win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 2:20 PM Eastern time.

Boston has earned a record of 43-35 throughout this season, which has them sitting in third place of the AL East. The Red Sox have lost two games in a row, but are 6-4 in their last 10 games. Boston is half a game back on the second seeded Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox will look to move up the standings with a win on the road in this one.

The Cubs have put up a record of 32-46 so far on the season, which has them sitting in third place of the NL Central. Chicago has won four games in a row and are 7-3 throughout their last 10 games. The Cubs are 11 games out of a wild card spot in this one. Chicago will look to remain hot with another win at home.

These two teams will look for a big win as they meet up on Sunday afternoon. The Red Sox have struggled a bit in their last stretch of games, but will look to get back on track. Chicago has been hot as of late and will look to step up early in this one. If either team can come out fast on Sunday, it could be enough to earn the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Boston Red Sox -1 ½ (+130) -125 Over 8 ½ (-120)
Chicago Cubs +1 ½ (-150) +105 Under 8 ½ (+100)
Team Data Boston Red Sox Chicago Cubs
Overall Record 43-35 32-46
Away/ Home Record 23-19 17-26
Batting Average .260 .250
Batting Average Away/ Home .255 .257
ERA 3.65 4.79
ERA Away/ Home 3.42 4.53

Betting Trends

Boston Red Sox

  • 0-2 in July games
  • 8-4 when playing on a Sunday
  • 4-5 in inter-league play
  • 13-14 in day games
  • 30-31 against right handed starters
  • 20-14 after a loss
  • 27-18 against team with a losing record

Chicago Cubs

  • 2-0 in July
  • 5-7 when playing on Sunday
  • 4-9 in inter-league games
  • 14-15 in day games
  • 23-34 against right handed starters
  • 13-17 after a win
  • 2-3 after three or more straight wins
  • 17-23 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up twice throughout this season. Christopher Morel had three RBI’s with a home run as the Cubs won on Friday night 6-5 at home. Patrick Wisdom and Narciso Crook each had an RBI in Saturday’s tilt. Mark Leiter Jr. pitched five and a third innings, giving up three hits and one run as Chicago won 3-1.


The Red Sox have been strong hitting the ball throughout this season. Boston has a .260 batting average, which is 2nd in the league. The Red Sox have earned an OBP of .325, which is 5th in the MLB. Boston has posted a .741 OPS, which is 6th in the league. The Red Sox have a BA of .258 against righties this season.

Chicago has been solid at the plate on the season. The Cubs have a batting average of .250, which is 10th in the MLB. Chicago has put up a .326 on base percentage, which is 4th in the league. The Cubs have earned an OPS of .727, which is 12th in the MLB. Chicago has hit .249 against right handers.

These two teams have been hitting the ball well this season and will look for a quick start in this one. Boston has earned 16 hits throughout the last two games, but only have scored six runs. The Cubs have 14 hits throughout this set so far. If either team can hit well early in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Connor Seabold will likely get the start on the mound for Boston in this one. Seabold has started once this season, going 0-1 in that start. He pitched four and two thirds innings against the Toronto Blue Jays. He gave up nine hits and seven runs in the loss. Seabold will look to start quickly in this one as he looks to bounce back.

Keegan Thompson will get the nod at pitcher for the Cubs on Sunday afternoon. Thompson has earned a record of 7-3 throughout his 17 appearances this season. He has posted a 3.34 ERA and a WHIP of 1.158 in those games. Thompson’s last start was against the Cincinnati Reds. He gave up eight hits and four runs through six and a third innings in the loss.

Thompson has been the better starter throughout this season and will look to remain hot. Seabold will look to bounce back after a rough first start to the season. The Red Sox have the better bullpen in this matchup. Boston’s relievers have a 3.80 ERA, which is 15th in the league. The Cubs bullpen has an ERA of 4.55, which is 26th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Chicago has won the first two games of the set entering this one and will look to pull off the sweep. The Red Sox have been the better team this season and I expect them to bounce back. If Boston can get a quicker start on the mound, I think they can pull off the win.

Bovada has Boston listed as a -125 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Red Sox will win this game around 55.6 percent of the time. I think that this line could be bigger with Boston looking to avoid the sweep. The Red Sox have been hitting the ball better this set, but have not earned the win. As slight favorites, I like the value on Boston.

The Bet
Boston Red Sox
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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