Red Sox vs. Indians MLB Pick – August 12th

The Cleveland Indians may have blew a 3-1 lead Sunday afternoon, but the offense wasn’t fooling around after their pitching crumbled. Brad Hand was responsible for the blown save as he was dinged for 2 earned runs. Although, instead of folding like most teams do in these spots, Carlos Santana used the extra at-bat to hit a grand slam to put the game out of reach by a score of 7-3. The Tribe were not blowing that lead. It was a bad beat for UNDER backers, as they took it on the chin in that one.

Bad beats in the 9th inning are becoming commonplace with all of these shaky bullpens out there, so buckle up and try to enjoy the ride. The Indians statistically have the best bullpen in the major leagues, so it can certainly happen to any team. The Cleveland offense may not have picked up the slack earlier in the season, but they’ve been swinging the bats much better of late. Adding Yasiel Puig was a move to give their offense some more pop.

With the win on Sunday, the NL Central is all tied up. With that in mind, that was a huge game for the Indians and they were lucky not to completely collapse for a loss. Allowing the Indians to catch up has been a bit of a collapse for the Twins in the division. They’ve steadily progressed upwards and the Twins are at a critical point now. Minnesota will not be able to rely on a big lead and coast to the finish line. The Indians never let their lead slip away last season, but it looks like we’re going to have a pretty good finish in the AL Central.

The Red Sox are coming off a slim 5-4 loss to the Los Angeles Angels at Fenway Park yesterday afternoon. Bad loss for the Red Sox who can’t afford many more of those. They are getting frustrated and running out of days in the regular season. The Red Sox are coming off back-to-back losses after winning the first two games of a four-game series against the Angels. Eduardo Rodriguez will seek a fresh start for the Red Sox in Cleveland this evening. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Indians pick.

Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -115/Indians -105
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Eduardo Rodriguez (13-5, 4.17 ERA)
  • Zach Plesac (6-3, 3.12 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Red Sox are not making it easy on themselves that’s for certain. It’s almost like they’ve been stuck in a season long hangover after winning the World Series last season. That goes to show how hard it is to repeat in professional sports. Getting too high after a winning season is one reason.

The Red Sox are fading away in the American League race, while others are rising to the occasion. The lights aren’t out at Fenway Park yet, but we’re getting close to that point. With days running out on the regular season, their deficit is growing larger.

Now they are on the road in Cleveland three games. With the Orioles on tap next weekend at home, that must be a sweep for the Sox. Rodriguez starts the Red Sox off in Cleveland on Monday. He has been having a typical season, with expected results for him.

Rodriguez holds an ERA of 4.17 and 1.34 WHIP. His season has been better at home, with a 3.89 ERA as opposed to a 4.46 ERA and 1.41 WHIP as a visiting hurler. Rodriguez will look to outduel Zach Plesac, who has been a lifesaver for the Indians in 2019.

The emergence of Plesac allowed the Indians to trade Trevor Bauer and acquire Puig. Without the rotation doing their job without Corey Kluber and Carlos Carrasco, there is no way that they are trading Bauer away for Puig. Instead of Puig it might have been for some prospects if the postseason was out of reach.

Plesac takes an ERA of 3.12 and 1.15 WHIP into tonight’s contest against the Red Sox. He has been pitching well with an ERA of 2.00 and 1.33 WHIP in his last three tilts. Plesac has also been solid at Progressive Field, posting a 2.97 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 39.1 innings in Cleveland.

Despite blowing a 3-1 lead yesterday, the Indians’ bullpen is 1st in the majors with an ERA of 3.19. The next closest team is the Rays with a 3.67 ERA, so it isn’t even close. They are the only pen to throw five complete games.

Also note that Plesac hasn’t lost a game pitching at night yet, where he owns a 2.10 ERA compared to a 4.06 ERA in afternoon starts. The Red Sox are hitting .211 with no runs scored against Plesac in 19 at-bats. Cleveland aren’t getting enough respect and are thus catching a nice price in this matchup. The Indians look like the play at home Monday night.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.