Red Sox vs. Mariners MLB Pick – July 24th

The Seattle Mariners would be a competitive team in the AL Central, but the problem is, they are not a member of the AL Central. They are in a division with the Houston Astros, a team who is 17 games up on the rest of the competition. It’s the Astros, and then everybody else. In that sense, the only thing the Mariners can hope for at this point is catching a piece of a wildcard. That’s going to be a task that won’t prove to be too easy, either. After yesterday’s loss, they dropped three of their last four games. Besides one inning, rookie Caleb Smith, who made his first major league start was frustrating them.

Smith was cruising through the early innings, before he failed to get that last out in the bottom of the 4th. With the bases loaded, he nearly got out of a bases loaded situation with no outs on the board. However, that turned into 4 runs for the Mariners. It was the only runs that the Mariners would score on the afternoon. The Yankees ultimately got the win by a score of 6-4 as they plot their chase of the Boston Red Sox.

The Yanks would be looking at a wildcard right now, but it wasn’t so long ago that they were the kings of the AL East. The Mariners said goodbye to the Yankees, though, and will shift their attention on the Red Sox now. Seattle has the benefit of facing both on back-to-backs at home, but this isn’t the easiest stretch for them.

James Paxton, who has been a godsend for the Mariners, will step up on the hump this evening. The Mariners have a knack of producing quality pitchers every few years or so, and Paxton is the next in line. He will face Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox tonight in Seattle. Get our free Red Sox vs. Mariners pick below.

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Eduardo Rodriguez (4-2, 3.66 ERA) vs. James Paxton (9-3, 3.05 ERA)

Paxton has been rolling along in his fifth-year in the majors. While he’s produced nice numbers in the past, he never really broke through in the rotation. In those five years, his ERA has never eclipsed the 4.00 mark. However, the most work he got was last season, 20 starts, already at 16 starts in 2017, he will break that mark. The extra work isn’t bothering him at all, as he enters Monday with an ERA of 3.05 with a 1.14 WHIP. Paxton has excelled at home too, posting a 2.67 ERA in 54 innings pitched. It’s been five starts since he’s surrendered more than 2 runs per game.

With the acquisition of Robinson Cano, the Mariners wanted to be a team known for their offense, along with solid pitching. The offense has been better, but they still rely more so on pitching. Rodriguez will look to outshine Paxton tonight. Rodriguez fooled the Mariners on May 26th, allowing no runs and 5 hits across 6 innings. In 2016, more of the same, as he yielded 1 run and 3 hits in Seattle. Mariner batters are hitting a measly .195 with 0 home runs in 41 at-bats vs Rodriguez. The UNDER has gone 5-0 in their last five meetings, and 8-2 in their last ten. The way I see it, the UNDER is worth a look on Monday. A play at 8 is fine, too.

PICK: UNDER 8.5 (-130)

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