Red Sox vs. Mariners Pick – MLB May 15th

A close pitching duel yesterday between the Cardinals and Indians ultimately gave way to a 2 run 8th inning from the Cardinals to steal the 1-0 lead from the Tribe. Wacha and Bauer both pitched brilliantly, and it is unfortunate that both pitchers couldn’t be given a win. That isn’t how it works though, and the Cards were able to do just enough to slide past the Indians in the early afternoon hours. Wacha again showed off why he isn’t fazed by entering as the number 1 option in the rotation following the injury to Wainwright. Despite some people looking for a drop off from Wacha, it is safe to say by now that he is definitely the real deal, and barring injury to himself will be around for a very long time. That Wainwright injury is so unfortunate for the Cardinals. With him in the rotation they are probably the team to beat in all of baseball, with him on the sidelines out for the year that is definitely questionable. Because in the postseason him in there vs not makes an immense difference, which goes without saying. A nice bounce back game for Bauer, who needed a game like that badly. It didn’t result in a win for him, but it was nice for him to get back on track.

Here tonight we go to a late night affair in Seattle for a pretty good matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have finally compiled a pretty good team out there in Seattle, with some offense to finally give the team a boost. For so long, in fact, feels like since Ken Griffey was there that the Mariners had a good offense. However, while on paper they look good with Robinson Cano in the middle of the lineup and Austin Jackson leading off, but the Mariners only have a record of 15-18, not exactly the kind of output the Mariners were hoping from. Cano is getting a boatload of cash to play in Seattle and thus far hasn’t been earning it. Nonetheless, there is still a lot of time to go in this season for them to turn it around. The Red Sox at 16-18 have been starting slow as well. The play of Clay Buchholz hasn’t helped matters as he has totally spun out of control after having a career season in 2013. He had an ERA of 5.34 last season and is on pace for another below par season as well where he currently stands with a 5.73 ERA. He’ll face off against left-hander J.A. Happ tonight.

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners

Clay Buchholz (2-4, 5.73 ERA) vs. J.A. Happ (3-1, 3.29 ERA)

The last thing the Red Sox want to see on the mound is a left-handed pitcher. They have to be able to hit one effectively and their total BAA against them has dropped to .184 as a team. In their last ten games they hit lefties at a rate of only .145 and .191 overall. Happ is of course a left-hander who has been playing well this season for the Mariners. Not mind blowing figures of a 3.29 ERA, but he has only had one bad start this year that has skewed that number. Note two starts ago he allowed 6 runs, after that start he came back and let in just 1 run. That 6 spot was only the first time all season long that Happ allowed more than 2 runs in a game. Pitching at home he has been solid, posting a 2.33 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.

Buchholz on the other hand has been erratic ever since he had that monster 2013. He enters with a 5.73 ERA tonight and has looked shaky lately as well, yielding a 7.04 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts. I like the Red Sox to struggle yet again tonight against another left-handed pitcher. The price should be a little higher I feel in favor of the Mariners. I feel like the Red Sox are just banking off their brand name and Buchholz’ prime to have such a close price in this game. Sign me up for the Mariners at a price of just -104 behind Happ.