Red Sox vs. Phillies MLB Pick – August 15th

The Boston Red Sox eked out a close 2-1 victory over the Phillies on Tuesday evening at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies need every win they can get to catch the Braves and failed to draw closer with a loss. They ended up falling back a bit due to a 10-6 Braves win yesterday. The Phils are 2 back of the Braves but are currently in possession of the final wildcard in the National League. The Wild Card Round is just best to be avoided, though. Anything can happen in one game, and if the postseason were to begin today, they’d be heading to Milwaukee for a meeting with the Brewers.

That’d make a heck of a matchup, but it’s not something the Phillies would like to see. The edge would have to go with the Brewers, but it’d be easy to make a case for either team. Neither are ready at the moment to compete against a team like the Red Sox, though. Rick Porcello was fantastic as he paced the Red Sox to victory Tuesday. Brock Holt delivered in the 8th as a pinch-hitter and they managed to close the Phillies out the rest of the way. The Red Sox can win in so many ways and yesterday it was the pitching that shined on the road.

The Red Sox are enjoying a sizable lead in the AL East and that doesn’t look like it’s ending anytime soon. They’ve extended their lead to 10 games in the division and it appears that it’s a wrap for them. Instead of worrying about the Red Sox, the Yanks should just focus on preserving a wildcard. They should be able to accomplish that much, but it sure isn’t a lock at this point. The Mariners are currently the last team out, with the Yankees slated to play the A’s if the postseason started today. At what would be an underdog price, it’d be tough not to like the Athletics after everything they’ve managed to do this season. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Phillies pick.

Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Nathan Eovaldi (5-4, 3.74 ERA) vs. Vince Velasquez (8-9, 3.98 ERA)

The Red Sox recently acquired Nathan Eovaldi to add a reinforcement in the starting rotation. They could have gone the expensive route and brought in a bigger name, but opted to roll the dice with Eovaldi. Signing the elite name doesn’t always work out, though, just ask the Yankees and Sonny Gray. Gray has been a massive failure for the Yanks and waste of money. Eovaldi’s career in Boston started out perfectly, with a couple of gems back-to-back.

Eovaldi didn’t allow a run in 15 innings against the Twins and Yankees. But that was at home where Eovaldi has been great all season long. He fit in just fine with his new team at Fenway. However, as soon as he hit the road that’s when he started to waver again. Eovaldi holds an ERA of 1.12 at home and a 5.70 ERA on the road. Wei-Yin Chen is the only other guy I can think of that sees such a dichotomy between home and the road. Eovaldi has just a 0.66 WHIP at home, but it goes up to 1.29 as soon as he steps on a mound in another ballpark.

He was smacked around for 10 hits and 4 earned runs in just 2.2 innings of work in Baltimore. Eovaldi exited with 71 pitches in only 2.2 innings. The Phillies are hitting .268 and a .333 OBP in 41 at-bats against him. The Red Sox have a small sample size against Vince Velasquez, but have been able to handle him with ease. The current lineup is hitting .357 with a .400 OBP in 14 at-bats. Valasquez has posted an ERA of 4.78 at home. He is having all kind of problems keeping the ball down. He’s allowed just 2 long balls on the road compared to 11 in Philadelphia. Valasquez will be dealing with a team who are hitting 1.39 home runs per game, 2nd, and 5.46 runs per game, 1st. After not much sizzle from the offenses Tuesday, we should see it kicked up a notch today.

The Bet: OVER 8.5 (-110)

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