Red Sox vs. Rangers MLB Pick – September 25th

The bats came out to play for the Boston Red Sox and Texas Rangers last night in Arlington. Both teams got started early, as they went into the 3rd inning with a 5-5 game. Eduardo Rodriguez has been one of not many pitchers who has done well for the Red Sox this season. Last night was not his, though, as he was rocked for 11 hits and 7 earned runs in 5 innings.

Edison Volquez was the big loser for the Rangers, as he was tagged for 5 hits and 4 earned runs in 0.2 innings. Volquez was unable to get out of the inning. He originally was planning on retiring following this season, but recently said he has doubts. I don’t know, after that performance, Volquez might be on the retirement bandwagon again.

He didn’t look like he was ready to pitch another season against the Red Sox last night. Ariel Jurado, who pitched 3 innings, allowed 3 earned runs to add to the frustration. The Red Sox didn’t score another run after the 5th inning, but that’s okay when you’ve already scored 12 runs in the game. Texas were able to make it interesting with 5 unanswered runs, but it wasn’t enough to complete a comeback.

There isn’t anything to play for at this point for the Red Sox and Rangers, so they can play a loose game without worrying about anything. That said, the Red Sox probably should have been worrying about postseason positioning right now. The fact that the Red Sox went from a World Series to no playoffs is what got GM Dave Dombrowski canned.

He sat silent at the trade deadline and did nothing to improve the team, which exacerbated the situation. Rick Porcello will look for a bright spot tonight. He is set for free agency at the end of the season, so his future is unclear. Porcello has had an up and down career in Boston, as he hit a high of winning the Cy Young to lows like 2019. Rookie, Kolby Allard, is expected to make a start for the Rangers. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Rangers pick.

Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Red Sox -153/Rangers +133
  • O/U: 12

Pitching Matchup:

  • Rick Porcello (13-12, 5.56 ERA)
  • Kolby Allard (4-1, 4.25 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Rick Porcello has seen just about everything in his time with the Red Sox. A Cy Young, World Series, and failures have been part of his career since joining the club in 2015. 2016 was his money season, as Porcello reached a career-high ERA of 3.15 and a record of 22-4. He certainly has the offense to thank for that Cy Young.

A 3.15 ERA is not typically good enough for a Cy Young, but his record of 22-4 was too hard to ignore. Porcello has pitching off the mark this season. He will finish this year with all-time lows in his career, including from when he was with the Tigers. This will be the first season that he’s finished with an ERA over the 5.00 mark, so he’s been way off from his averages. In a contract year, this is absolutely not what Porcello needed. Somebody will give him work next season, but probably not for his original asking price.

I don’t expect for things to get much better for Porcello against the Rangers tonight. While he is coming off a sharp performance against the Rays, Porcello has generally done a pretty poor job against this Rangers’ lineup in his career. They are hitting .286 with a .340 OBP in 244 at-bats. That includes 27 runs yielded. There are six hitters on the Texas roster who are hitting better than .300 against Porcello.

While Porcello hasn’t been pitching well, the Red Sox should be able to get their share of runs against Kolby Allard. Allard will be making the 10th start of his career tonight. He made one a season ago and has made eight in 2019. Arlington hasn’t been too friendly to Allard. He enters Wednesday with a bad ERA of 7.36 and 1.84 WHIP. Allard hasn’t lasted long in three outings at home, with just 14.2 innings pitched. We may not see 22 runs like last night, but expect more than 12 to put this matchup OVER the total.

The Bet
OVER 12
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.