Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick – July 31

The MLB is set up with another great day of baseball throughout July 31. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these matchups will be between the Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays. These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 6:00 PM Eastern time.

Boston has earned a record of 63-42 throughout this season, which has them sitting in first place of the AL East. The Red Sox have lost their last two times out and only have a small lead on the division now. Boston will look to bounce back with a big win in this one. If the Red Sox can come out quickly though, they could win a crucial win on Saturday.

The Rays have put up a record of 62-42 so far this season, which has them in second place of the AL East. Tampa Bay is only half a game back on the Red Sox for that top spot. The Rays are coming off back to back wins entering this game. Tampa Bay will look to carry momentum into Saturday’s meeting as they look to jump Boston for the division lead.

These two teams are in a neck and neck battle for the AL East this season, which should lead to an exciting matchup on July 31. Tampa Bay can jump the Red Sox in this matchup and will look to do so with a win. Boston will look to get back on track after dropping their last two. I expect a great game between these two teams on Saturday.

Previous Matchups

The Red Sox and the Rays have met up seven times throughout this season. The first three games were in Boston between April 5 and 7. J.D. Martinez homered in the first matchup as the Red Sox won 11-2. Martinez hit in his third RBI for a walk off win in the second game as Boston earned a 6-5 win. Christian Vazquez had a homer in the third meeting to lead the Red Sox to a 9-2 win.

The next three games of the series were in Tampa Bay between June 22 and 24. Hunter Renfroe had a home run in the fourth matchup as Boston won 9-5. Brandon Lowe, Austin Meadows and Mike Zunino all homered in the fifth game to lead the Rays to an 8-2 win. Tampa Bay won on a walk off wild pitch in the sixth meeting as the game finished 1-0.

Tampa Bay hosted the most recent matchup on July 30. Christian Vazquez, Bobby Dalbec and Hunter Renfroe all had RBI’s on the night, but it was not enough. Yandy Diaz, Mike Zunino and Randy Arozarena all hit in home runs as the Rays were able to pull off the win. Josh Fleming earned the win on the mound pitching five innings and giving up only three runs as Tampa Bay won 7-3.

This series has shifted throughout this season. Boston was able to win the first four games against the Rays, but Tampa Bay has bounced back with three wins of their own. The Rays will look to tie up this series with a win in this one. The Red Sox will look to get their offense going once again as they try to extend their lead on the division.


Boston has been strong with the bats in their hands this season. The Red Sox have hit in 491 RBI’s, which is 5th in the MLB. Boston has also earned 132 home runs on the season, which is 11th in the league. The Red Sox have been solid defensively. Boston has given up 470 runs to opposing teams, which is 16th in the MLB.

The Rays have been good at bat throughout this season as well. Tampa Bay has earned 492 RBI’s this season, which is 4th in the league. The Rays have gone deep 133 times, which is 10th in the MLB. Tampa Bay has also been strong on the mound and in the field. The Rays have allowed their opponents to score 412 runs, which is 7th in the league.

These two teams have been strong at the bat throughout this season. Tampa Bay has the slightest of edges with the bats in their hands. The Rays have been much better than Boston on the mound though. Tampa Bay will look to shut down the Red Sox bats once again in this one. If either team can get going on the mound early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Nathan Eovaldi will likely get the start on the mound for the Red Sox in this one. Eovaldi has started in 20 games this season, going 9-5 throughout those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 3.49 and a 1.18 WHIP in those starts. Eovaldi’s last start was against the New York Yankees. He gave up seven hits and two runs through seven and two thirds innings.

I expect Ryan Yarbrough to get the nod at pitcher for Tampa Bay on Saturday night. Yarbrough has earned a record of 6-4 throughout his 20 games played this season. He has posted a 4.38 ERA and a WHIP of 1.19 in those matchups. Yarbrough pitched seven innings in his last start against the Cleveland Indians. He gave up five hits and one run.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season, but Boston has a slight edge with Eovaldi getting the start. Eovaldi has the better record and ERA on the season and will look to shut down this Tampa Bay team. Yarbrough is coming off a strong performance his last time on the mound and will look to carry momentum into this one.

Pick Overview

The Red Sox have dropped three in a row to Tampa Bay, but I think they can bounce back on July 31. Boston will look to get some runs up on the board early in this one to give Eovaldi some support. The Rays are coming off a strong performance on Friday night though. If the Red Sox can get the early lead, I think they will take this game.

BetOnline has Boston listed as a -113 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Red Sox will win this game around 53.1 percent of the time. I think that this line is about right with Eovaldi getting the start. I think Boston can bounce back after losing their last two outings. As slight favorites, I am taking the Red Sox in this one.

The Bet
Boston Red Sox
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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