We cashed the UNDER 7 last night in Seattle with Iwakuma pitching another spectacular game. It was against the Astros, but nevertheless, he is quickly asserting himself as one of the best young pitchers in the league. I will certainly be paying attention to him for the remainder of the season. The Astros’ early run was a result of an error, allowing the base runner to make it over to 3rd with only 1 out. The Astros got the runner in with a sac fly. The other Astros’ run occurred in the 9th inning when Iwakuma was sitting on the bench, so quite the impressive performance from him.
Free MLB Pick:
Boston Red Sox -131 at Tampa Bay Rays +121 (Total: 8)
Jon Lester (6-2, 3.60 ERA) vs. Roberto Hernandez (3-6, 5.03 ERA)
Moving on from the Astros/Mariners series to a series with a little more luster, the Red Sox vs. Rays. Last night provided some fireworks on the scoreboard, and on the field. John Lackey belted Matt Joyce with a fastball for an earlier incident, which spawned a benching clearing altercation. The Red Sox jumped out to a quick 6-0 lead, but the Rays battled back, bringing the game into extra innings where the Red Sox captured a 10-8 victory.
Both starting pitchers got creamed early on last night, so as you can imagine, the bullpens for both clubs are pretty pasted. I think we can find an edge in this game from this notion alone. If this game is to stay a low scoring affair, then both starting pitchers I believe are going to need to go deep into this game. However, neither pitchers are a workhorse that can take their respective teams far into ballgames. Roberto Hernandez, formerly Fausto Carmona of the Cleveland Indians, has been erratic for the majority of his career. Yes, Hernandez used a fake name to obtain a U.S. Visa several years ago when he was in the Dominican. Hernandez has a shaky ERA of 5.03, his only standout start came against the Marlins two starts ago, but he followed that up with a shellacking at the hands of the Tigers several days ago.
Lester was supposed to be that workhorse for the Red Sox, but things haven’t panned out that way. He is a decent pitcher, don’t get me wrong, but he is not the guy several people thought he was going to blossom into. The trend seemingly looks to be pointing down for Lester. His ERA of 4.82 last season was his career worst, and if he doesn’t watch out, Lester could approach that number again. His last three starts indicate that he is heading in that direction: 5.12 ERA, .384 OBP, and 1.60 WHIP.
As I already stated, this is more of a play on the tired bullpens on both sides. I don’t see how Lester and Hernandez will be able to go long enough to keep the bullpens on the bench. Thus, I am going to take a shot with the OVER on a shorter than expected number.
Free Pick: OVER 8