Red Sox vs. Rockies MLB Pick – August 28th

The Boston Red Sox put on a show at Coors Field last night, but it could be too little too late for the defending champs. There is a mountain to climb before the Red Sox are back in the postseason, and if they do reach, it’s going to be in a do-or-die Wild Card Game. The Red Sox are six games back of the Athletics for the final wildcard, leaving the club on life support going into September.

They’ve looked kind of hungover all season long and relaxing back too much. Instead of expecting everything was going to be easy for them in 2019, they have found themselves in cruise control far too often this season. A team with their talent should be closer than six games of going to the Wild Card Game.

GM Dave Dombrowski sat still at the trade deadline instead of looking for a talented arm for the rotation. It may sound absurd after just winning a World Series, but Dombrowski is going to be in the hotseat quickly if the Red Sox struggle next year as well. It’s going to be an interesting offseason for the Red Sox. Their opponent in this series, the Colorado Rockies, have been a mega disappointment this year as well.

The Rockies failed to build off their trip to the postseason a year ago and have regressed. There won’t be a chance for them to try and go further this season. They’re 12 games back of a wildcard and just about statistically removed from the equation.

The Red Sox struck first in the letdown bowl by a score of 10-6 Tuesday night. Rico Garcia was rocked for 6 earned runs in 5 innings to give the Red Sox the win. After Garcia made his major league debut, the Rockies will go with rookie Peter Lambert tonight. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Rockies pick.

Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -175/Rockies +150
  • O/U: 13.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Eduardo Rodriguez (15-5, 3.92 ERA)
  • Peter Lambert (2-4, 6.40 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Coors Field has been a house of horrors for a lot of pitchers and that hasn’t excluded rookie Peter Lambert. This can be a tricky park to find success in for elite pitchers, nevermind a rookie who is just getting some experience for the future in 2019. Lambert’s major league career did start well, as he went two straight games with just 1-run allowed in each outing. That was against the Cubs in both games.

He has had his fair share of up and down moments since that point. We see that happen often with rookies. They come in and impress right from the get-go and then quickly find out that pitching in the majors is not going to be that easy. Lambert enters Wednesday with an ERA of 6.40 and 1.61 WHIP. His biggest issue has been limiting the deep ball at Coors Field. He has allowed 5 home runs on the road as opposed to 9 at home.

Lambert holds an ERA of 6.64 with a 1.52 WHIP at home. In his previous three outings, he posted a 4.70 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Expect the Red Sox to get their offense going again on Wednesday. The Red Sox are hitting .279 against righties. Lambert likely isn’t going to be able to offer much resistance.

Eduardo Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Red Sox, but has struggled against the Rockies in the past. They are hitting .357 with a .387 OBP in 28 at-bats. Overall, the Boston pitching staff hasn’t been great, with a combined ERA of 4.66 on the season.

Rodriguez has been one of their better options in the rotation, but Coors can bring out the worst in a pitcher. He hasn’t been as sharp on the road, as he enters Denver with a 4.30 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 81.2 innings. The Rockies have been better against lefties as well, with a .269 average in 2019. They’ve been destroying the ball against left-handed pitching recently, too. Colorado hit .327 in their previous ten games in that respect. Look for more fireworks with another high-scoring contest Wednesday in Denver.

The Bet
OVER 13.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.