Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals MLB Pick – August 4

The MLB is set up with another great slate of action on Thursday. Thirteen games are up on the board throughout August 4. One of these games will be between the Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals. These two teams have been solid this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 8:10 PM Eastern time.

Boston has posted a record of 53-53 throughout this season, which has them sitting in last place of the AL East. The Red Sox are coming off a loss in their last game and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. Boston is three games back on a wild card spot in this one. The Red Sox will look for a big win on the road.

The Royals have put up a record of 41-64 so far on the season, which has them in last place of the AL Central. Kansas City has lost two games in a row and have gone 3-7 throughout their last 10 games. The Royals are far out of a wild card spot, but will look to finish the season strong. Kansas City will look for a win at home on Thursday.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win on Thursday. The Red Sox have struggled a bit as of late and have fallen out of the playoff picture in this one. Kansas City has struggled as well and will look to bounce back. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Boston Red Sox -1 ½ (+120) -130 Over 8 ½ (-125)
Kansas City Royals +1 ½ (-140) +108 Under 8 ½ (+105)
Team Data Boston Red Sox Kansas City Royals
Overall Record 53-53 41-64
Away/ Home Record 27-26 22-30
Batting Average .252 .244
Batting Average Away/ Home .242 .256
ERA 4.27 4.70
ERA Away/ Home 3.78 4.41

Betting Trends

Boston Red Sox

  • 2-1 in August games
  • 3-7 when playing on Thursday
  • 37-34 in night games
  • 17-8 against left handed starters
  • 26-26 after a loss
  • 28-18 against team with a losing record

Kansas City Royals

  • 1-2 in August
  • 5-6 when playing on a Thursday
  • 23-35 in night games
  • 27-48 against right handers
  • 25-40 after a loss

These two teams met up seven times throughout last season. The Red Sox won the season series with a record of 5-2 and outscored Kansas City 47-27 in those games. Boston is coming off a three game set against the Houston Astros, where they went 2-1. The Royals met up with the Chicago White Sox the last three games and lost two of the three.

Offense

The Red Sox have been strong hitting the ball on the season. Boston has a batting average of .252, which is 6th in the MLB. The Red Sox have earned a .313 OBP, which is 16th in the league. Boston has posted an OPS of .720, which is 12th in the MLB. The Red Sox have hit .263 against left handers this season.

Kansas City has struggled a bit at the plate throughout this season. The Royals have a .244 batting average, which is 14th in the league. Kansas City has put up an on base percentage of .307, which is 21st in the MLB. The Royals earned a .683 OPS, which is 25th in the league. Kansas City has a BA of .242 against righties.

Boston has the edge hitting the ball this season and will look to get their bats going early. The Red Sox had four hits and one run in their tilt against the Houston Astros on Wednesday. Kansas City earned four hits and one run as well in Wednesday’s loss. Both teams will look to hit well early in this one as they eye a big win.

Pitching Preview

Nick Pivetta will likely get the start at pitcher for Boston on Thursday night. Pivetta has earned a record of 8-8 throughout his 21 starts this season. He has posted a 4.47 ERA and a WHIP of 1.32 in those outings. Pivetta pitched five innings in his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers. He gave up nine hits and four runs in the loss.

I expect Kris Bubic to get the nod on the mound for the Royals in this one. Bubic has appeared in 17 games this season, going 2-6 in those games. He has put up an ERA of 5.45 and a 1.60 WHIP in his starts. Bubic’s last start was against the New York Yankees. He gave up four hits and three runs through six innings in the no decision. 

Pivetta has lost his last three decisions entering this one, while Bubic won his last decision. Boston has a slight edge in the bullpen, but both teams have struggled this season. The Red Sox relievers have a combined ERA of 4.21, which is 24th in the MLB. The Royals bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, which is 28th in the league. Both teams will look for pitching to step up in this one.

Pick Overview

These two teams will meet for the first time this season on Thursday night. The Red Sox have been a bit better and will look to come out fast on the road. Both teams have struggled a bit on the mound as of late, but will look for their offense to come out fast. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has Boston listed as a -130 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Red Sox will win this game around 56.5 percent of the time. The over/ under for this game is listed at 8 ½ runs. With both starting pitchers struggling a bit and both teams having solid offenses, I think this game could have plenty of runs. I expect a fast start and the over to hit in this one.

The Bet
Over 8.5 Runs
-125
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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