Red Sox vs. Royals Pick – MLB May 18th

The Boston Red Sox are a funny team. One year they are off and then the next the light switch is fully on. It was almost predictable that the Red Sox were going to have a good team following last year. David Price was expected to be the centerpiece and reason why they were going to have a good team, but actually, Price has had absolutely nothing to do with it. The way I see it, that is a really good thing for the Red Sox. Price can still heat up, no question about it. He can come full-circle and look like the kind of pitcher we know.

The Red Sox are 24-14 with last night pending and you figure how Price has only one loss. The Red Sox may have escaped the worst of David Price, and came out of it with a record of 24-14. It indicates there is depth and production coming from elsewhere. Price looked improved last start, but I want to see it occurring for a little while longer before we declare he is back to where he wants to be.

The Royals are not where they want to be, we can come to that conclusion without a doubt. Kansas City is a team that looks hungover, a team that still hasn’t gotten over last year’s World Series victory. I don’t blame them, they have a right to still be excited about last season. However, the fact still remains, that was last year, it isn’t this year. The Royals are going to have to hit the gas here soon and get going. They are currently up on the Red Sox, 5-4 in the 8th, with the win they will advance to .500 at 19-19. Note that the Red Sox and Royals have a double-header today, this is for the second game in the evening. Find the pick below for this American League matchup below.

Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

David Price (5-1, 6.44 ERA) vs. Edinson Volquez (4-3, 3.51 ERA)

As you see in Price’s numbers, he has gotten hit, that is pretty noticeable but he hasn’t been a liability in a sense. Note that he has a record of 5-1 but his ERA is at 6.44. The ERA will tell you how he’s been pitching, but he still managed to find wins through one of the roughest patches of his career. The offense picked him up, and he has gotten some excellent run support from his offense. He has received around 7 runs of support per game, from the highest scoring team in baseball. The Red Sox have scored a whopping 10.4 runs per game across their last seven games!

The Red Sox have been slapping right-handers around the yard. Good luck to Edinson Volquez, a righty himself. Overall the Red Sox are hitting .300 against righties, including .342 in their last five games. Volquez hasn’t had the most success against the Red Sox, posting a 4.32 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in four starts. Price allowed one start in his last outing, the best of the season for him. I’m still at a loss with this total of 7. I noticed it and thought the Red Sox shouldn’t be attracting a 7 spot with their offense, notably against an average pitcher like Volquez. I still don’t trust Price despite his solid start against the Astros. I like this one to get OVER 7 runs on Wednesday night.

PICK: OVER 7 RUNS (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.