Tigers vs. Red Sox Pick – MLB July 25th

The Detroit Tigers look to knot up their weekend series with the Boston Red Sox after dropping a 2-1 decision last night. This is the series of two teams that should really be in better positions then they are now. Both have been quite cold, and with that said, it’s looking like it will be a cold winter for the Tigers and Red Sox. The most intriguing thing surrounding the Tigers is if they are going to be sellers at the trade deadline or just sit still with what they have. I can say with certainty that David Price is going to be gone regardless if the Tigers send him packing to another team. Price has been the one pitcher on this team that has been reliable. However, he hasn’t been getting great run support, and has a lot of tough losses on his resume. He was supposed to be the guy that put the Tigers over the top last season, and while he isn’t to blame, just plugging him in wasn’t the solution. The Tigers were probably better served addressing the bullpen instead of satisfying the fans with another brand name. But still, I’m not harping on Price at all in his time in Detroit.

Alfredo Simon is another relatively recent addition to the Tigers. Simon came over from the Reds after having a pretty big campaign in the Cincinnati based organization. Simon gets the start today and has been finding it hard to operate after a pretty nice start for him to start the season. Which is why in baseball, it is always erroneous to come to conclusions in the first and second month of the season. If you look at Simon from then to now it is night and day. If it wasn’t for that pretty good start he’d even be further off than he is now statistically.

Note that last season in Cincinnati was the first year for Simon in a fulltime role in the starting rotation. Since 2008 Simon mainly worked out of the bullpen. In 2011 Simon had 16 starts as a starter and finished with a 4.90 ERA. Consequently, there has only been one good year for Simon as a starter. He will face Steven Wright today, who has made his living out of the bullpen as well throughout his career. His results haven’t been much better than Simon, so could this be a big afternoon for the offenses?

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox

Alfredo Simon (8-6, 4.63 ERA) vs. Steven Wright (3-3, 4.84 ERA)

Both Wright and Simon have been getting abused on the mound lately. Starting with Wright, who enters this afternoon with an ERA of 6.48. Wright has been a spot starter this season. His last start was his first since June 4th, where he got demolished for 6 runs against the Angels. Things have been trickier for him on the road, as he possesses a 5.28 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. However, he still posts a poor 4.08 ERA at home. Despite the Tigers’ troubles they can still light the scoreboard up on any given day, hitting for an average of .276 as a team.

Any kind of handicap the Red Sox had with sending out an unreliable pitcher is wiped away with Simon starting for the Tigers. He’s been far worse lately, and posted a 9.22 ERA and 2.27 WHIP in his last three starts. It has been since June 14th since he allowed less than 4 runs in any start, and in only one did he surrender 4. Simon has been abysmal on the road with a 6.08 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. The Red Sox bats have been cold, but they just about seem ready to bring some offense. Against Simon that looks like a real possibility. Good spot to take the OVER 9.

PICK: OVER 9 RUNS (-110)