As I was out last night watching game 7 of the NBA finals, I kept keeping my eye on the score of the Padres game last night (this is the story of a true degenerate). It looked like that was going to be easy money, but the Padres tacked a few more late in the game to push the game over the total unfortunately. I had a lean on the Padres, so hopefully you guys followed that along with the winning NBA pick. Let’s have another big weekend starting tonight.
Free MLB Pick:
Boston Red Sox +125 at Detroit Tigers -135 (Total: 8.5)
Jon Lester (6-4, 4.37 ERA) vs. Doug Fister (6-4, 3.21 ERA)
The first game of this series last night provided an exciting finish capped off with a walk-off 2 run slam from Johnny Peralta. Peralta has been a much needed bat in the middle of the batting order. He has certainly complimented the duo of Prince Fielder and Miguel Cabrera greatly. Who knows how long he’ll be playing for until a suspension with the PED scandal unfolding, but for now, he has been a steady player throughout the year. The Tigers will try and build off last night’s 9th inning winner against the lowly Jon Lester.
I have faded Lester already this season and it came up aces. Once a suspected workhorse for many years to come, Lester has completely fallen off the wagon in 2013. Most notably, Lester has gotten railed in his last three starts, posting an ERA of 8.62 in his last three starts against the Orioles, Rays, and Rangers. Lester will have another stingy test in front of him at Comerica Park tonight. Lester prefers to be pitching in Fenway, as his ERA is 5.25 on the road compared to 2.86 at home.
The Tigers counter with Doug Fister on the opposite side. The former Mariner is doing what management expected him to do when signing him last season. He is a reliable option that will give you a solid 7 or 8 innings of work. His ERA of 3.00 in his last three starts reflects his season ERA of 3.12, so he is a pitcher that you know what you’re going to get even before the first pitch.
In addition, the Tigers are one of the best home teams in Major League Baseball with a 24-12 record. Even though Comerica is a pitcher friendly ballpark, the bats come out for the Tigers in Detroit. I look for that to continue tonight against the Red Sox. It definitely looks attractive, the Red Sox as a dog with Lester on the mound, but I wouldn’t be fooled. Contrary to what some people think, Lester is not even an average pitcher at this point in his career. There was once upon a time he was a solid pitcher, but no more, and I suspect he gets rocked again at Comerica. He has seen a similar fate against the Tigers before, with an 0-2 record and 4.78 ERA against the Tigers in five starts.
Free Pick: Detroit Tigers -135