Red Sox vs. Twins MLB Pick – June 18th

Backed by a stellar performance by Rick Porcello, the Boston Red Sox cruised to a 2-0 win on Monday night in Minnesota. The Twins haven’t been fooled by too many pitchers this season, but Porcello was right on point against the best offense in baseball. Nice win for the Red Sox as they added their sixth victory in a row. They appear to be beating up, but there is still a small mountain to climb if they want to erase their deficit.

They’ve already made life difficult on themselves by falling asleep in the first month of the regular season. Having said that, only 5.5 games back in June isn’t that much of a hole. All it could take is one more week of hot play from the Red Sox and they’re right there all of a sudden.

All of a sudden, the Yankees are going to have Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton back, so that is going to make their quest a little more difficult. Both teams are likely going to dig in at the trade deadline, with the Yankees striking first with the acquisition of Edwin Encarnacion.

He puts some more pressure on the Red Sox to do something, either with what they have or swing a deal for what presumably is going to be an arm. With Heath Hembree on the IL, there is even more of a need for a reliever right now. Hembree was on fire since May 1st, with a 0.60 ERA and a save.

You wouldn’t know the Red Sox need bullpen help looking at last night, though. That said, it’s never smart to use one night as an indicator for the future. David Price will look to turn into a similar performance as Porcello tonight. He must be careful against a team who have been destroying left-handed pitching. Former Yankee, Michael Pineda, is expected to counter for the Twins. Get our free Red Sox vs. Twins pick below.

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Red Sox -117/Twins -103
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • David Price (4-2, 3.52 ERA)
  • Michael Pineda (4-3, 5.04 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

David Price is coming off a disastrous effort against the Texas Rangers, as he got pummeled for 5 hits and 6 runs in 1.1 innings of play. That was without allowing a home run to the Rangers, so Price was all over the place with his command. In just 1.1 innings, Price was already up to 49 pitches.

The Red Sox were still able to get a win out of the deal with a 7-6 win. He doesn’t have it easy in his opportunity to bounce back. Instead of getting an easy opponent, Price will have to handle a team who know their way around lefties. The Twins are hitting .296 against them overall and .305 in their last five games.

They’re hitting .265 with 5 home runs in 136 at-bats against Price. On the other side, the Red Sox have done well against righties, and Michael Pineda in particular. Boston are hitting .266 against eight-handed pitching, and .282 with 6 home runs against Pineda in 163 at-bats.

Pineda has posted an ERA of 5.20 in 36.1 innings at home this year. He previously allowed at least 3 runs in ten straight games before snapping that against the Mariners in his most recent showing. It was the first outing since March that he gave up less than 3 runs in Minnesota. The Red Sox certainly pose more of a problem than the M’s.

After both offenses were dead on Monday night, I see things opening up for a bit at the plate. While the Twins didn’t score anything last night, they’re still 1st in the majors with 5.87 runs scored per matchup. Conversely, the Sox are 6th with 5.35 scored per. Look for this one to get into the double digits following a silent showing for both of these high-powered units a night ago.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.