Red Sox vs. White Sox Pick – MLB May 4th

The Boston Red Sox and Chicago White Sox get back at it after a 4-1 decision for the White Sox last night. The White Sox are continuing to defy the odds, as they reached 19-8 with the win. The only other team in the league with 19 wins is the Chicago Cubs, which was to be expected from them. But the White Sox? The Chicago White Sox? Who would have known that on May 4th the Cubs and White Sox would be 1-2 in the standings? Meanwhile, a pre-season World Series’ favorite, the Houston Astros, are ten games below .500. With a long ways to go, the White Sox have jumped out early as the surprise team of 2016. After so much attention on them before the season even started because of the Adam LaRoche situation, the team has handled themselves magnificently. I read that people were going to fade them every game. How did that work out?

Nobody saw this coming so I suppose we can let them off the hook. Clay Buchholz will get the call tonight, as he is still trying to seek his first victory of the season. What a fall from grace it’s been for Buchholz. From Cy Young to just trying to stay afloat in the Red Sox rotation. I think there is a certain perception that Buchholz is still a good pitcher, but people are remembering him for that Cy Young and World Series. I’m sure there a few people out there that would back Tim Lincecum as well, due to the name. Surprisingly, the White Sox are 19-8 this season and Carlos Rodon has struggled. It felt like earlier for the White Sox to succeed, Rodon was going to have to be a key player in that, but he hasn’t pitched too well so far. He and Buchholz will try and get on track tonight in the second meeting in two days for the Red Sox and White Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox

Clay Buchholz (0-3, 6.51 ERA) vs. Carlos Rodon (1-3, 4.33 ERA)

Trouble started for Buchholz in 2014 after his Cy Young in 2013. Buchholz concluded the season with an ERA of 5.34, a major slump after posting a outstanding 1.74 ERA in 2014. He started in eighteen games a year ago, improving with a 3.26 ERA. It was clear, though, that he wasn’t the same pitcher from 2013. Now as one month has passed, he’s looking like a shell of his former self. In four out of his five starts, Buchholz has surrendered 5 runs in each. Oddly enough, it’s 5’s across the board. 5 hits allowed and 5 runs in all of those four games. Hitters have gone deep on Buchholz four times already.

Rodon has been getting exposed as well of late. Note that he has given up 13 runs in his last three starts, with his worst stuff coming at home, as he has posted a 9.00 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in Chicago. Rodon’s last three starts have produced a 7.07 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. In two starts against the Red Sox, Rodon went for a 9.00 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Despite the low scoring game yesterday, the Red Sox and White Sox have typically played to high scoring final scores. The OVER has gone 8-3 in their previous eleven meetings. It looks like a great night for some runs between these two.

PICK: OVER 8.5 RUNS (-110)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.