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Red Sox vs. Yankees MLB Pick – April 17th

This has been some kind of lousy start for the Boston Red Sox. It almost feels surreal that they just won the World Series this past season and now they’re looking at a record of 6-12 after getting blasted by the Yankees, 8-0, last night. James Paxton was dazzling, as he showcased why the Yankees brought him to the Bronx in the first place. Right now in the season, a 6-12 record isn’t that daunting of a slow start to overcome.

What happens now will likely be forgotten in a couple of months. However, the way that the Red Sox have been losing is a bit scary. The Red Sox have a run differential of a whopping -40. Who in their right mind would have predicted that was going to be the case at any point this season? The Miami Marlins, who are expected to be a terrible team, are the only team who are worst in that respect with a run differential of -43.

Being mentioned in the same conversation as the Marlins is not a good look, especially a team that just won a World Series. They can certainly overcome this slow start, just wait until the weather heats up perhaps. But there comes a time where these losses early in the season are going to add up quickly. When teams are separated by only a game or two late in the year, this begins to rear its ugly head. Maybe getting destroyed by their rival gets them going?

Nathan Eovaldi will have a chance to do just that on Wednesday. He hasn’t had the hottest start, but nobody can speak up either and say they’re playing well. We might just be talking about this as a brief hangover in a few months, so let’s see where they go once the weather gets nice and warm outside. J.A. Happ will counter for the Yankees. Head below for our free Red Sox vs. Yankees pick for Wednesday evening on the diamond.

Boston Red Sox vs. N.Y. Yankees Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Yankees -115/Red Sox -105
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 8.40 ERA)
  • J.A. Happ (0-2, 8.76 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

James Paxton delivered a much needed standout performance yesterday. With a couple of shoddy starts against Houston and Baltimore, it was a nice way to breakout and neutralize a rival. For the Red Sox, it was a worrisome sign to see Chris Sale get reamed for the third time in four starts this season. Like I said, there isn’t one individual to point and put the blame on for their anemic start.

It’s been a total team failure from the top to the bottom. Eovaldi isn’t expected to put up ace like numbers, but he should be pitching much better than this. Their ace struggling is wearing off on others apparently. Eovaldi enters tonight with an ERA of 8.40 in three outings against the Mariners, Athletics, and Blue Jays. He also owns a 1.87 WHIP and .414 OBA entering Wednesday.

The Jays do not have a good offense, their lineup is fairly depleted, but they were still able to tag Eovaldi for 6 hits, 4 walks and 5 runs in 5 innings. It was the second consecutive game that Eovaldi yielded 4 walks. He hasn’t been either to keep the ball down either, as 6 long balls have already been launched with on the bump.

Pitching in Yankee Stadium can’t be good for a guy who is having difficulties keeping the ball in the park. The Yankees have had injuries this season, but their lineup has performed well against right-handed pitching with a .261 batting average as opposed to .219 against lefties. Their bullpen has been so hot either, with a 4.46 ERA in 17 games.

J.A. Happ has had a similar erratic start to begin the 2019 campaign as well. He enters with an ERA of 8.76 with a 1.95 WHIP and .400 OBA. His start on the road against the Orioles helped his numbers a bit, but both of his outings at Yankee Stadium have been a disaster. In two outings at home he’s delivered a 11.25 ERA and 2.12 WHIP.

The White Sox chased him in the 4th inning after allowing 9 hits and 6 earned runs. Happ also walked a couple of batters. He is not this bad of a pitcher, but it’s difficult to envision him keeping the velocity on his fastball up at 36 years old. Following two lackluster days at the plate for the Red Sox, they should be able to get runs against a pitcher they’ve gone deep on 11 times on in his career. I’d consider the OVER at Yankee Stadium between the Red Sox and Yankees on Wednesday evening.

The Bet
OVER 9.5

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