Red Sox vs. Yankees Pick MLB – Sept 30th

It’s never a fun column to write the morning after you take an 8-0 absolute pounding of a loss. But alas, chin up Madison Baumgarner, we trod along today and lick our wounds. We all knew the Dodgers were going to eventually win the division. I didn’t think it’d be at MadBum’s expense. I suppose in all fairness, there was literally nothing Baumgarner could have done, unless it was with his bat, as Kershaw was AWESOME, throwing a one-hitter with just a single walk and a whopping 13 punchouts. Lights out stuff. Your move Mister Arrieta…

Making things even LESS fun for me, I made a big ole’ mistake in my column log, and had recorded the Angels in my log instead of the team I ACTUALLY picked, the Mariners, back on September 26th, making an alleged winner, in fact, a big fat loser. Thanks to a few of the readers for pointing out my error. More importantly, I’m sorry you needed to. It’s always embarrassing to make a mistake with lots and lots of people reading it… but I am usually good for one or two good fall-on-the-face’s a year. I’m trying to pare those down, promise. In the meantime, a sincere my fault! It was entirely accidental and an oversight. Hopefully no one will need to call me out, other than for the occasional, um 8-0 loser with ‘big-game averse’ Kershaw tossing a one-hitter, for quite a while.

OK – let’s get down to some more pleasant business; finding a winner on tonight’s slate to start a new winning streak.

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Today’s Free Pick:

Boston Red Sox +100 at New York Yankees -190 (Total: 8)

Wade Miley vs. Masahiro Tanaka

It’s tricky wagering this week, as so many teams are throwing random lineups and little-used pitchers into the meaningless mix. But we do know this game matters. The Yankees are giving Tanaka one last tune-up before next week’s do-or-die wildcard game and the Red Sox would like nothing more than to continue their late season surge towards .500 by tweaking their hated rivals.

Tanaka had been excellent in his three starts prior to tweaking a hamstring in his last outing on September 18th. He posted a 1.21 ERA in 21 innings with a ridiculous 21:1 K/BB split. I have previously written the Yankees are at a disadvantage in a wildcard game as they don’t really have that “dominant ace” to hand the ball to, however, if Tanaka comes back in recent form, I’d lean towards him over the road-weary Dallas Kuechel (or anyone the Angels or Twins muster, should that be their foe).

Opposing Tanaka is Miley. He has had the epitome of an average season, posting a 11-11 record with an ERA in the fours. He is even worse against the Yankees this season at 0-2 with a 5.60 ERA. In fact, Miley hasn’t won a start on the road since the first week of July, posting an 0-1 record over his last seven road journeys.

This pitching matchup strongly favors the Yankees, as does the need to win factor. I’ll take Tanaka to look sharp in his return and the Yankees to handle their business in the Bronx.

Free Pick: NEW YORK YANKEES -1.5 (+115)

**Note from Kevin: I’ve corrected the line and the pick above, as Chris had the wrong moneyline listed**