Reds vs. Brewers MLB Pick – May 21st

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers play their first of two games on Tuesday after both teams got the day off on Monday. It’s been a struggle for the Reds out of the gates in April and May, as they were expected to make waves with the signing of Yasiel Puig. In their eyes they thought it was going to be a successful season anyway.

Puig has always been sort of an overrated player in my eyes and inserting him to find instant success isn’t perfect. He does a lot right, but he can be a liability at times. In any event, at least management made an effort to bring a better offense to Cincinnati.

Joey Votto may have been the happiest to hear about some help coming to his ballclub. If it results in actual results remains to be seen, though. Despite a record of 21-26 and 7 games back of 1st in the NL Central, I wouldn’t call them out of anything just yet. We’ll see where they are at the start of August. They have one of the better bullpens in baseball, which of course carries a lot of weight.

If the offense gets going they’re going to be all right. It hasn’t been producing at a consistent rate and Puig is in danger of falling below .200 at the plate. Puig is hitting .206 with 7 home runs and is in danger of going on the IL with a shoulder sprain.

He made a miraculous catch going into the wall on Sunday, but he paid for it with his shoulder tightening up. Sitting down may be the best course of action for Puig. Not just the injury, but a bit of time to get his head straight at the plate. Former New York Yankee and Oakland A, Sonny Gray, will get the nod for the Reds in Milwaukee. Veteran Gio Gonzalez will counter for the Brewers. Head below for our free Reds vs. Brewers pick.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Brewers -130/Reds +110
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Sonny Gray (0-4, 4.30 ERA)
  • Gio Gonzalez (2-0, 1.69 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Sonny Gray’s turbulent post-Oakland career continues as he hopes to find a bit of solace in Cincinnati with the Reds. After getting dealt to the Yankees, Gray never found his way as a member of the Yankees. He came out in Cincinnati early this season and was pitching reasonably well. Perhaps it was just Yankee Stadium that gave him stage fright? The pressure of performing in NYC was a bit too much.

However, Gray has been reverting back to what he was doing as a Yankee. His ERA is vanilla enough at 4.30 with his numbers getting skewed in the wrong direction recently. Gray has posted an ERA of 5.65 and 1.60 WHIP in his last three outings. He allowed 3 runs in each of his previous three starts, which doesn’t seem too bad, but he also didn’t last too long on the mound.

As stated earlier, the Reds’ offense has failed to live up to expectations so far in 2019. When you make a trade for Puig, expectations are going to be there for offensive results. That hasn’t been the case, as the Reds are 22nd in the major leagues with only 4.02 runs scored per game. On the road that numbers falls to 3.46. Gray must deal with a Milwaukee team that have been swinging the ball well, with an average of just over 5 runs scored per game at home.

Gio Gonzalez has made only four starts this season, but has made the most of it since getting bumped to the starting rotation. The Brewers’ rotation as a whole were struggling and the decision was made to give Gonzalez some starts. Great choice because he’s been firing darts on the bump. Gonzalez has an ERA of 1.69 and 1.08 WHIP in 21.1 innings. His WHIP falls to 0.56 at home and OBA to .158. I think the Brewers should be a bit more expensive in this spot, so a play on the home team in Milwaukee looks pretty solid on Tuesday.

The Bet
BREWERS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.