Reds vs. Brewers MLB Pick – May 22nd

The Milwaukee Brewers got behind early last night and weren’t able to recover. Gio Gonzalez settled down and was sharp after allowing 3 runs in the 1st inning, but the offense didn’t give him much support on the night. It’s a nice win for the Reds who are going to have to do some catching up in the NL Central after a slow start. A lot of it ties into a brutal start for Yasiel Puig at the dish. When and if Puig gets hot, the rest of the team likely follows his lead.

In any event, the Dodgers look pretty smart unloading Puig in a trade to get his contract off the books. They were able to say goodbye to Puig and let Manny Machado walk and are still a World Series contender in 2019. That’s called smart baseball by the Dodgers, as they might get the same results as last season with a cheaper roster.

The Reds are on the hook for Puig, so hopefully he does work out. He’s going to go on a run eventually, but even performing at full strength, I’ve never been a huge fan of what he brings given his contract. Give me a couple of hard-working clutch ball players before Puig.

The play he made on Sunday was certainly an effort play by him, though. As much criticism as he gets for being lazy, flying into the wall and injuring his shoulder to get an out was all effort. Puig hopes to make it back on the diamond for this matchup Wednesday.

It’s an afternoon affair between the Reds and Brewers at Miller Park in this one. Flamethrower breakout star, Luis Castillo, will touch the rubber for the Reds, while Zach Davies, who has developed into the No. 1 option for Milwaukee will get a go. Head below for our free Reds vs. Brewers pick.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Reds -120/Brewers +100
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Luis Castillo (5-1, 1.90 ERA)
  • Zach Davies (5-0, 1.54 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Luis Castillo is putting other teams with big wallets on notice. The teams who like to spend a lot of money in large baseball markets are salivating at the chance of signing Castillo. The Reds have been looking to land an ace for ages now and it looks like they finally have one in their stable.

They didn’t have to overpay or trade for him, either. Castillo is playing on a one-year $558k contract. Knock on wood, if he doesn’t suffer a major injury or go cold in the second-half, Castillo is ready to take on a massive pay increase. He’s earned it so far, as he enters Wednesday with a stellar 1.90 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Castillo has given up more than 2 runs in a start only once out of ten showings.

He’s already handled the Brewers this season in impressive fashion. Castillo frustrated the Brewers for just 1 hit and 1 run on April 3rd. It’s hard to lose a game pitching like that, but the Reds managed to lose by getting blanked for a 1-0 loss. Zach Davies opened up the season against the Brewers on April 1st and he was dominant in that showing. He allowed 4 hits and 2 runs in a 4-3 victory.

It wasn’t an outlier for Davies against the Reds. He has kept it going and stayed consistent ever since he threw his first pitching in the opener. Davies hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs all season long, which equates to an ERA of 1.54 and perfect 5-0 record.

In his last three outings, Davies has been strong with an ERA of 1.80 and 0.95 WHIP. His best work has come at home, where he holds a 0.76 ERA in 23.2 innings. He’s allowed just 5 runs in three starts at Miller Park. I was anticipating a total of 8 here, so a play on the UNDER at 8.5 looks solid on Wednesday afternoon in Milwaukee.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.